OSCEs Parlamentariske Forsamling 2022-23 (2. samling)
OSCE Alm.del Bilag 11
Offentligt
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KREMLIN'S SECRET ALLY - HOW TOKAYEV IS HELPING PUTIN CIRCUMVENT SANCTIONS
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The Open Dialogue Foundation
was established in Poland in 2009 on the initiative of Ukrainian
student and civic activist Lyudmyla Kozlovska (who currently serves as President of the
Foundation). Since its founding, statutory objectives of the Foundation include the protection of
human rights, democracy and the rule of law in the post-Soviet area. In July 2017 area of interest
of the Foundation was expanded due to the rapidly deteriorating situation in Poland and other
EU member states affected by illiberal policies implemented by their populist governments. The
Foundation has its permanent representations in Brussels, Warsaw and Kyiv.
Website:
https://odfoundation.eu/
; e-mail:
[email protected]
Twitter:
@ODFoundation
Human Rights Protection Foundation Qaharman
a Kazakhstani human rights organisation
which was established for the purpose of protecting fundamental human rights in Kazakhstan,
in particular, the right to peaceful assembly, right to a fair trial, and right to participation in the
management of state affairs, as well as freedom of speech and dissemination of information. As
a public initiative, Qaharman began its activities in Kazakhstan in 2019, and in February 2020, it
was officially registered. Qaharman activists monitor politically motivated trials and the right to
peaceful assembly.
Twitter:
@qaharman_kz
; e-mail:
[email protected]
The human rights movement ‘405’
is a public initiative founded in 2019. The main goal of the
movement is to protect participants of peaceful assemblies and bloggers who are subject to
political prosecution under Article 405 of the Criminal Code of Kazakhstan (“participation in the
activities
of the organisation after its recognition as extremist”). The movement protects the
right to peaceful expression, which should not be regarded by the authorities as ‘extremism’.
Twitter:
@hr405kz
; e-mail:
[email protected]
The Bostandyq Kz human rights movement
intends to fight for the observance of the
constitutional rights and freedoms of the citizens of Kazakhstan, and to inform about human
rights violations in the country. The movement was founded on 14 September 2020.
Facebook:
Bostandyq Kz
The human rights movement Veritas
was established on 17 September 2020. The aim of the
movement is to protect human rights in Kazakhstan, with special attention to freedom of speech,
peaceful assembly and peaceful association. The movement monitors the implementation of
Kazakhstan's commitments in the areas of human rights, environment, health and anti-
corruption, and informs the EU, the UN, PACE, the OSCE, GRECO and the governments of
democratic states about the results of the monitoring. Veritas conducts public campaigns to
protect politically persecuted activists, political prisoners and victims of torture.
Facebook:
Veritas human rights movement
; e-mail:
[email protected]
`The "Femina Virtute" human rights movement,
was established on 4 November 2020, and
aims to combat discrimination against women in Kazakhstan and to document violations of
women's, civil and political rights. The members of the movement conduct solidarity actions in
defence of human rights and train citizens to defend their rights. Based on the monitoring
results, the movement provides information to the European Parliament, the European
Commission, the UN, the OSCE, the Council of Europe, governments and politicians of the EU
states, as well as the USA, Canada, Australia, the UK, Norway and Switzerland.
Facebook:
Femina Virtute
; e-mail:
[email protected]
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Human rights movement "Article 14"
was established on 5 November 2020 with the aim of
monitoring the right to fair justice in Kazakhstan. The members of the movement inform citizens
of Kazakhstan and the international community about violations of the right to a fair trial, fight
for greater transparency in the justice process, and draw public attention to violations during
trials.
Facebook:
Article Hrm
; e-mail:
[email protected]
The Human Rights movement Elimay
was established on 17 October 2020. The movement aims
to protect civil and political rights and freedoms in Kazakhstan. The movement calls to put an
end to all forms of political repression and release of political prisoners in Kazakhstan.
Facebook:
ELIMAY ~ defence of human rights in Kazakhstan
; e-mail:
[email protected]
Project Manager:
Lyudmyla Kozlovska (the Open Dialogue Foundation):
[email protected]
Copyright:
the Open Dialogue Foundation, “Qaharman”, “405”, “Bostandyq Kz”, “Veritas”, “Femina Virtute”, “Article 14”, “Elimay”,
December 2022
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OSCE, Alm.del - 2022-23 (2. samling) - Bilag 11: Reports on Kazakhstan Helping Russia Circumvent Western Sanctions - Open Dialogue Foundation
Table of Contents:
1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................... 5
2. KAZAKHSTAN'S POLITICAL SUPPORT FOR RUSSIA........................................................................... 6
Ban on protests in support of Ukraine ........................................................................................... 8
Tokayev is in Putin's debt ............................................................................................................... 8
Kazakhstan helps Russia circumvent Western sanctions .............................................................10
3. KAZAKHSTAN STRENGTHENS RELATIONS WITH RUSSIA AMID ITS INTERNATIONAL
ISOLATION.....................................................................................................................................12
Kazakhstan's "new geopolitical reality"........................................................................................12
Re-registration and relocation of Russian companies ..................................................................13
"Parallel import" ...........................................................................................................................14
Assistance in lifting sanction restrictions for the purchase of Russian subsidiary banks and
for the operation of Russian payment systems in Kazakhstan ....................................................15
Circumventing financial sanctions ................................................................................................18
Military cooperation .....................................................................................................................19
4. DISINFORMATION OPERATIONS TO CREATE AN IMAGINARY CONFRONTATION BETWEEN
RUSSIA AND KAZAKHSTAN............................................................................................................20
Positioning Kazakhstan as a "victim of an alleged attack" by Russia ...........................................21
Information noise to divert attention from the change of shareholders of
Russian-sanctioned banks in Kazakhstan .....................................................................................21
Tokayev's speech at the St Petersburg Economic Forum.............................................................22
How Kazakhstan avoided sanctions for helping to steal Ukrainian grain ....................................24
Increasing Kazakhstan's military budget for defence against Russia? .........................................26
Fake about the cessation of military cooperation between Kazakhstan and Belarus .................27
Fake about the cancellation of teaching Russian in Kazakhstani schools ....................................28
Fake about Kazakhstan's withdrawal from the CSTO ...................................................................28
5. RECOMMENDATIONS ....................................................................................................................29
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1. INTRODUCTION
After Russia launched a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the Kazakhstani
authorities stated that Kazakhstan "respects the territorial integrity of Ukraine" and "has not and will not
recognise both the situation with Crimea and the situation with Donbass".
1, 2
In June 2022, President
Tokayev declared non-recognition of the so-called "LPR" and "DPR”.
3
However, the declared position of
Kazakhstan's leadership serves only as a cover for supporting Russia in circumventing the sanctions regime
for a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine.
The Kazakhstani authorities have conducted large-scale disinformation operations in Ukraine and the
West about the alleged "conflict" between Tokayev and Putin, "strict implementation of sanctions", the
"threat of a Russian attack on Kazakhstan" and, accordingly, "forced support for Russia", in order to
prevent sanctions against the Kazakhstani officials and companies that assist Russia in circumventing
international sanctions, including the supply of military and dual-use goods.
The Kazakhstani authorities use Kazakhstan's state agencies to promote in the West the easing
and/or lifting of sanctions imposed on financial institutions (Sberbank Kazakhstan, Alfa-Bank
Kazakhstan) and instruments (Mir payment system).
Since the start of the invasion on 24 February 2022, Kazakhstani civil society has continuously
published facts about Kazakhstan's assistance to Russia in circumventing the sanctions and has
called on Ukraine and Western countries to impose secondary and personal sanctions on the
violators of the sanctions regime. The result of such actions should not only be to shut down
existing sanctions circumvention schemes, but also to weaken Russia's financial, military and
technological capacity to wage an illegal war against Ukraine.
Kazakhstan acquired Russian-owned sanctioned Sberbank Kazakhstan and Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan
and lobbied the US government, with the help of Kazakhstani state agencies such as the National
Bank, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial
Market, to remove them from the sanctions list.
Kazakhstan has increased its exports of
machines, equipment, vehicles, instruments and to Russia
many times over (a 284.3% increase),
TVs, monitors and projectors by
312 times,
computers by
215 times, and telephones by 88 times.
4, 5
The goods and components supplied are used by Russia's
military-industrial complex. Ukrainian military intelligence has reported the delivery of US and
Japanese missile components to Russia by Kazakhstan.
6
Russian companies relocated to Kazakhstan are free to use financial services, including
international financial transactions, thereby offsetting some of the lost imports to Russia.
7, 8
1
2
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/31786625.html
https://www.euractiv.com/section/central-asia/interview/kazakh-official-we-will-not-risk-being-placed-in-the-same-basket-as-russia/
3
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/tokaev-o-priznanii-lnr-i-dnr/31903400.html
4
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/eksport-tovarov-iz-kazahstana-v-rossiyu-vyiros-za-god-485209/
5
https://rus.azattyk.org/a/32131171.html
6
https://www.repubblica.it/esteri/2022/10/31/news/ucraina_servizi_segreti_iran_addestra_russi_crimea-372441671/
7
https://rus.azattyq-ruhy.kz/economics/43686-rossiiane-perekhodiat-na-tenge-valiutu-rekordno-skupaiut-na-moskovskoi-birzhe
8
https://24.kz/ru/news/economyc/item/550519-rossijskie-promyshlenniki-rassmatrivayut-uglublenie-kooperatsii-s-kazakhstanom
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Recommendations:
Immediately shut down Russia's ability to circumvent sanctions through Kazakhstan and other
Central Asian countries in order to achieve the desired result of international sanctions against the
Kremlin;
Introduce personal sanctions against individuals and entities, including government officials, who
facilitate the circumvention of sanctions;
Implement the recommendations of the European Parliament Resolution dated 20 January 2022
9
,
particularly the requirement for Kazakhstan to allow UN and OSCE experts to conduct an
international investigation into the role of CSTO troops in suppressing peaceful mass protests in
Kazakhstan in January 2022;
Provide political and financial support to independent civil society, the opposition and Kazakhstani
whistleblowers who expose Tokayev's assistance in circumventing international sanctions for the
Kremlin and surrendering Kazakhstan's national interests to Russia;
Curb the misuse of inter-state criminal and civil law cooperation instruments, the conduct of illegal
surveillance on EU territory of the opposition and their loved ones; investigate and stop
propaganda attacks aimed at misleading EU state authorities and achieve politically motivated
extradition of opposition representatives from EU countries to Kazakhstan, who systematically
expose Tokayev's assistance in circumventing international sanctions for the Kremlin and
surrendering Kazakhstan's national interests to Russia.
This report is based on information from public sources, expert assessments and insider information. The
report contains information on the political support of Kazakhstan's leadership for Russia, schemes to
circumvent international (financial and technological) sanctions, examples of disinformation, as well as
recommendations to Ukraine, the US, the European Union, the UK and Canada.
2. KAZAKHSTAN'S POLITICAL SUPPORT FOR RUSSIA
The leaders of these two countries regularly declare strategic cooperation, allied relations and intensified
interaction on a range of issues, including trade, economic and military-technical partnership. Kazakhstan
participates jointly with Russia in a number of interstate unions - the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU),
the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO).
Kazakhstan's political leadership has not explicitly condemned the war against Ukraine launched by
Russia. Since the beginning of Russia's full-scale military invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan has not
supported any of the six UN General Assembly resolutions condemning Russia's war against Ukraine.
10, 11
Kazakhstan also voted against suspending Russia's membership in the UN Human Rights Council and
against removing Iran, which helps Russia with weapons, from the UN Commission on the Status of
Women.
12, 13
9
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2022-0012_EN.html
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32131130.html
11
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32180808.html
12
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/31801538.html
13
https://informburo.kz/novosti/kazaxstan-progolosoval-protiv-isklyuceniya-irana-iz-komissii-oon-po-polozeniyu-zenshhin
10
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On 15 December 2022, Kazakhstan
voted against a UN resolution
on the situation of human rights in the
temporarily occupied Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the one requiring Russia to stop its aggression and
to withdraw its troops from all of Ukraine, which refutes statements by Kazakhstan's leadership
supporting the UN principles and Ukraine's territorial integrity. On the same day, 15 December 2022:
Kazakhstan
voted in favour of a Russian resolution
at the UN on "combating glorification of Nazism, neo-
Nazism and other practices that contribute to fuelling contemporary forms of racism, racial
discrimination, xenophobia and related intolerance".
Voting at the UN:
1) 2 March 2022 Kazakhstan abstains from voting at the UN General Assembly on a resolution
condemning Russia's invasion and calling for the immediate withdrawal of troops from Ukraine.
2) 24 March 2022 Kazakhstan abstains from voting on a resolution on the humanitarian
consequences of aggression against Ukraine.
3) 7 April 2022 Kazakhstan votes against suspending Russia from the UN Human Rights Council.
4) 20 September 2022 Kazakhstan abstains from voting on President Zelenskyi's online address to
the UN.
5) 7 October 2022 Kazakhstan votes against the appointment of a Special Rapporteur on the situation
of human rights in Russia.
6) 12 October 2022 Kazakhstan abstains from voting on a resolution condemning Russia's annexation
of Ukrainian territories.
7) 14 November 2022 Kazakhstan abstains from voting on a resolution on reparations to Ukraine.
8) 15 December 2022 Kazakhstan
votes against
a resolution on the situation of human rights in the
temporarily occupied Autonomous Republic of Crimea, which also demands that Russia stop its
aggression and withdraw its troops from all of Ukraine.
9) 15 December 2022 Kazakhstan
votes in favour of a Russian resolution
at the UN on "combating
glorification of Nazism, neo-Nazism and other practices that contribute to fuelling contemporary
forms of racism, racial discrimination, xenophobia and related intolerance".
10) 14 December 2022 Kazakhstan votes against Iran's removal from the UN Commission on the Status
of Women.
The political support of Kazakhstan's leadership for Russia and the CSTO is also confirmed by the fact that
on the day of a massive missile strike on Ukraine, 23 November 2022, Imangali Tasmagambetov became
head of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). Tasmagambetov is one of Kazakhstan's most
influential officials, close to former President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Tasmagambetov is a former prime
minister of Kazakhstan, former mayor of Astana, former defence minister and former ambassador of the
Republic of Kazakhstan to Moscow.
14, 15
Tasmagambetov's appointment as secretary general of the
Russian-led organisation occurred against the backdrop of Russia being recognised by the European
Parliament as a state sponsor of terrorism.
16
At the CSTO summit on 24 November 2022, Tokayev made a
statement saying: "any
chance must be used to achieve
at least a truce".
17
This statement by Tokayev
echoes the rhetoric of the Russian leadership
on the need for a short truce to restore forces.
18
14
15
https://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2022/11/23/7377667/
https://informburo.kz/novosti/imangali-tasmagambetov-stal-generalnym-sekretaryom-odkb
16
https://www.bbc.com/russian/news-63723565
17
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32146885.html
18
https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/rosiya-hoche-korotkogo-peremir-ya-zelenskiy-1668842641.html
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In order to prevent the introduction of secondary sanctions for helping Russia, the Kazakhstani authorities
carry out disinformation operations, including by representatives of “think tanks”, the Ministry of Foreign
Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan and Kazakhstani embassies abroad. In particular, the director of the
Kazakhstan Institute for Strategic Studies under the President of Kazakhstan, Tukumov Yerkin, visits to
Western countries to convince them that Kazakhstan's leadership allegedly supports Ukraine, but,
"fearing a transport and logistics blockade", "Russian military aggression" and "occupation of Northern
and Western Kazakhstan", is "forced" to vote against Ukraine and "forced" to help Russia bypass
sanctions. This is also confirmed by the statement of Mazhilis deputy Aidos Sarym, a well-known
propagandist in Kazakhstan, on the issue of Kazakhstan voting for Russia at the UN:
"Let's
get this straight.
Kazakhstan has stated categorically that it does not recognise Crimea and Donbass. There is now a fierce
war between Ukraine and Russia. Each side is using the UN platform to increase its chances. A legal thing.
Our task is to examine our situation. In most cases, Kazakhstan refrains. Similarly, we are forced to perform
"diplomatic rituals". I urge Kazakhstanis to understand this aspect correctly."
19
Through disinformation, the Kazakhstani authorities have so far managed to avoid secondary sanctions
for helping Russia circumvent international sanctions, including a ban on military and dual-use goods.
Ban on protests in support of Ukraine
Despite the "notification nature of peaceful assemblies" and statements by the Kazakhstani leadership
"supporting the territorial integrity" of Ukraine, the Kazakhstani authorities have effectively banned
peaceful protests in support of Ukraine. Since 24 February 2022, Kazakhstani authorities have banned at
least 49 anti-war and single-person actions in support of Ukraine across Kazakhstan.
20
The Kazakhstani
authorities also persecute participants of peaceful rallies in support of Ukraine.
21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27
Tokayev is in Putin's debt
During the mass protests that swelled through Kazakhstan in January 2022, the CSTO military force,
actually led by Russia, was brought into Kazakhstan.
28
Russia has thus shown that it supports Tokayev and
is a guarantor of his presidency in Kazakhstan.
There is an intense level of personal interaction between the Kazakhstani and Russian presidents. Since
Russia's full-scale military invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has made five
visits to Russia, during which he held talks with Putin. Kassym-Jomart Tokayev made his first international
trip after his "re-election" as president of Kazakhstan, in a snap election, to Russia, where he met with
Putin on 28 November 2022.
29
At the economic forum in Qatar on 21 June 2022 President Tokayev said:
19
20
https://ulysmedia.kz/news/16547-my-vynuzhdeny-aidos-sarym-o-prorossiiskom-golosovanii-kazakhstana-v-oon/
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32176476.html
21
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/31786312.html
22
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3247016938950900/
23
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3235182206801040/
24
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3242291139423480/
25
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3241570242828903/
26
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3243117876007473/
27
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3232971470355447/
28
https://en.odfoundation.eu/a/293144,the-aftermath-of-the-bloody-january-crackdown-on-prodemocratic-protests-in-kazakhstan/
29
https://www.osce.org/odihr/elections/kazakhstan/528966
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"Yes, Putin is still a reliable ally, and as head of state I am happy to say that I have a close relationship with
Putin.”
30
It is widely known that Putin is trying to restore a prototype of the Soviet Union. In addition to Ukraine
and Belarus, Putin plans to take control of the Central Asian states. Kazakhstan is as politically controlled
by Russia as Belarus. Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan are highly dependent on Russia, while
Uzbekistan is the least dependent state on Russia.
Putin has worked extensively with President Mirziyoyev since the death of President Karimov to persuade
him to integrate the Russian and Uzbek economies more deeply. Multibillion-dollar contracts have been
signed in a wide range of economic and political spheres. The well-known billionaire Alisher Usmanov,
Putin's confidant, is an ethnic Uzbek whom Putin uses to build a personal and corrupt relationship with
Uzbek President Mirziyoyev. Putin's goal is to gain control over Uzbekistan, as he did over Belarus and
Kazakhstan.
To this end, during Tokayev's visit to Moscow on 28 November 2022, Putin announced a plan to create a
"triple union" of Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.
31
As we know, such a union already exists between
Russia and Belarus. Putin plans to expand this union by incorporating Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan into the
current union with Belarus at the first stage, with other Central Asian states to follow. At that meeting on
28 November 2022 Tokayev publicly stated his agreement to Putin's proposal to create a "triple union" of
Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.
News in the Russian media: "Kazakhstani President Kassym-Zhomart Tokayev said he supports the proposal
expressed by Russian President Vladimir Putin to create a kind of triple union of Russia, Kazakhstan and
Uzbekistan, including to resolve issues in the gas sphere"
30
31
https://www.rbc.ru/politics/21/06/2022/62b1b6c89a7947b99131a74f
https://www.interfax.ru/world/874551
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The Kazakhstani authorities tried to deny the political nature of the union and said the issue was about
creating a "triple gas union", but the original Russian media report contained language about creating a
"triple union", "including to resolve issues in the gas sphere".
32, 33
According to experts, Uzbekistan does
not need gas supplies from Russia. Uzbekistan is an exporter of gas to China via Kazakhstan and only needs
a certain amount of gas in winter, which can be covered by deliveries from Turkmenistan. In December
2022, for example, Uzbekistan signed a contract with Turkmenistan for the winter supply of 1.5 billion
cubic metres of gas.
34
Uzbekistan's Energy Minister rejected the idea of a union, saying: "We
will never agree to political
conditions in exchange for gas".
35
Kazakhstan's Energy Minister denied the statements of Tokayev’s
spokesman and Kazakhstan's Foreign Ministry, saying there was no discussion of a "gas union".
36
It thus
demonstrates Putin's intention to create a prototype of the Soviet Union and the willingness of Tokayev
(Kazakhstan) to enter the Union State by giving full control to Putin, in contrast to Uzbekistan, which, for
the moment, claims its own political course.
Russia's takeover of Kazakhstan began long before the start of the 2022 war by creating a common
economic and military space. On 3 September 2021, a memorandum was signed between the Kazakhstani
government and the Russian state-owned company Sberbank (headed by Herman Gref) to transfer to
Sberbank the right to create a digital platform to manage the personal data of Kazakhstani citizens and
the data of Kazakhstani state agencies, including the Ministry of Defence.
37
Kazakhstan's leadership
deliberately planned to transfer the country's digital sovereignty to Russia.
Kazakhstan helps Russia circumvent Western sanctions
Russia has faced international sanctions - personal and sectoral - the key objectives of which were to
reduce Russia's financial, military-industrial and domestic political resources to continue its war against
Ukraine. One of the most painful consequences of the sanctions for Russia is the ban on exports of military
and dual-use goods to Russia. Kazakhstan has become one of the key states that have engaged in large-
scale state-level support to Russia to circumvent international sanctions.
Kazakhstan's leadership
uses Kazakhstan's state agencies,
including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the
National Bank of Kazakhstan, the Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial Market and the
state holding company Baiterek,
to promote in the West the easing or lifting of sanctions on financial
institutions and instruments,
including Sberbank Kazakhstan, Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan and Mir payment
system.
38, 39, 40, 41, 42
The sanctions have struck a tangible blow to Russia's economy and industry, but have not had as
devastating an effect as expected.
According to Ukrainian intelligence published in November 2022, one
32
33
https://tengrinews.kz/russia/troystvennyiy-gazovyiy-soyuz-press-sekretar-tokaeva-raskryil-484581/
https://www.interfax.ru/world/874551
34
https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2022/12/16/gas-from-turkmenistan/
35
https://www.dw.com/ru/uzbekistan-otklonil-predlozenie-zaklucit-gazovyj-souz-s-putinym/a-64024996
36
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32172733.html
37
https://en.odfoundation.eu/a/109524,kazakhstan-surrender-of-technological-sovereignty-to-russia-china-and-a-further-assault-on-civil-society-and-
liberties/
38
https://ru.sputnik.kz/20221210/byvshuyu-dochku-sberbanka-v-kazakhstane-vyvodyat-iz-pod-sanktsiy--30227589.html
39
https://kapital.kz/finance/107325/v-eco-center-bank-prokommentirovali-isklyucheniye-iz-sanktsionnogo-spiska-ssha.html
40
https://www.dw.com/ru/banki-kazahstana-polucili-razresenie-ssa-na-operacii-s-kartami-mir/a-64047616
41
https://kz.kursiv.media/2022-10-14/ofac-prodlilo-do-konca-goda-srok-zaversheniya-sdelok-s-byvshej-dochkoj-sberbanka/
42
https://informburo.kz/novosti/alfa-bank-kazaxstan-mozet-vyiti-iz-sankcionnogo-spiska-posle-pokupki-bck
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of the reasons the effect of international sanctions on Russia has weakened is the help of third countries
to circumvent international sanctions.
43
Kazakhstan's opposition and civil society have been revealing since the first months of the Russian
invasion how Kazakhstan has become a key state where the "economic rear" is actually deployed. A
process of mass transit of goods and services needed for Russia's economy and industry has been
organised through Kazakhstan with the help of the Kazakhstani authorities.
44, 45, 46, 47, 48
At the same time,
Russia and Kazakhstan have so far successfully misled Western partners through constant disinformation
operations about alleged "differences" between them and "threats of Russian attack on Kazakhstan".
In fact, the level of cooperation between the two states has increased significantly since Russia's military
invasion of Ukraine. Exports of goods from Kazakhstan to Russia rose by 15.1% to USD 5.9 billion.
49
Particularly noteworthy is the
abnormal growth in exports of machinery, equipment, vehicles,
instruments and devices - an increase by 284.3 %,
and the recent doubling of exports in the "other goods"
category (it is not clear what exactly is behind this category of goods) - the atypical growth in two export
categories indicates the supply of goods that can be used for military purposes, including dual-use goods.
The Belarusian Investigation Centre (BIC), in its new study, reported that timber from Belarus is being
transported to the European Union in circumvention of sanctions - via Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan.
50
The table shows the dynamics of trade between Russia and Kazakhstan
43
44
https://nv.ua/world/countries/ukrainskaya-razvedka-nazvala-strany-kotorye-pomogayut-rossii-v-voyne-50282767.html
https://www.facebook.com/mukhtar.ablyazov/posts/pfbid0BvGdYMbLhotTwfvbZaEjrm9MFWunhyMNzgmQwikWjTyF2ZQRuVUw1syNaieh7kaxl
45
https://www.facebook.com/mukhtar.ablyazov/posts/pfbid02QD5nCiD4uA245LyCjjbPxQhBceN5AawnPSc2zGcNaxsWkvAgQPaNwXfvNKQ6X37Nl
46
https://www.facebook.com/mukhtar.ablyazov/posts/pfbid02QD5nCiD4uA245LyCjjbPxQhBceN5AawnPSc2zGcNaxsWkvAgQPaNwXfvNKQ6X37Nl
47
https://www.facebook.com/mukhtar.ablyazov/posts/pfbid04uu88EDxF3K1LejqJH2VtwuMat8yDPPUr5s5cZSyyqMGyRh1gKGoTb2kgSALzJtSl
48
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3434175103568415/
49
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/eksport-tovarov-iz-kazahstana-v-rossiyu-vyiros-za-god-485209/
50
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32186666.html
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The BIC found that once sanctions on Belarusian wood products under code 44 - which includes sawn
timber and boards, plywood and chipboard, wood pellets and briquettes - came into effect, exports of
these products from Kazakhstan to the EU increased 74-fold and from Kyrgyzstan almost 18,000-fold
compared to the same period in 2021. This is despite the fact that both countries imposed temporary
restrictions on timber exports. In the EU, the main buyers of Belarusian timber to circumvent sanctions,
according to investigators, were Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Germany and the Netherlands.
This points to the systemic nature of the assistance of EEU (Eurasian Economic Union) members, namely
Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, in circumventing sanctions not only of Russia but also of Belarus.
3. KAZAKHSTAN STRENGTHENS RELATIONS WITH RUSSIA AMID ITS INTERNATIONAL ISOLATION
Kazakhstan's "new geopolitical reality"
The level of cooperation between Kazakhstan and Russia has increased significantly since Russia's military
invasion of Ukraine. Russia is Kazakhstan's main political, trade and economic partner. Since Russia's
invasion, Kazakhstan's leadership has been convincing Ukraine and the West that Kazakhstan complies
with the sanctions, while actively increasing trade cooperation with Russia, including the export of military
and dual-use goods.
At a time when democratic countries are imposing sanctions against Russia and restricting access of their
goods and services to the Russian market, Kazakhstan is purposefully helping Russia avoid these
restrictions. During a meeting with Putin in May 2022, Tokayev said that despite all the difficulties
"stemming
from current geopolitical realities,"
the goal of the two governments is to increase trade and
economic cooperation.
51
In August 2022, Tokayev reiterated the rhetoric of the "specific
geopolitical
situation"
and the need for the two governments to "synchronise their watches" in this regard.
52
By helping Russia circumvent international sanctions, the Kazakhstani authorities are trying to convince
Western partners that they are "strictly adhering" to anti-Russian sanctions:
On 29 March 2022, Tokayev's deputy head of administration, Timur Suleimenov, said Kazakhstan
"will comply with sanctions".
53
On 21 June 2022, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan Mukhtar Tleuberdi attended a
meeting of the Republic of Kazakhstan - European Union Cooperation Council during which the
issue of preventing the negative impact of anti-Russian sanctions on companies from Kazakhstan
was discussed.
54
On 14 September 2022, Foreign Minister Mukhtar Tleuberdi noted that Kazakhstan has
established a governmental working group to prevent the negative impact of anti-Russian
sanctions on Kazakhstan's economy. The group consults with the U.S. and the EU in order to avoid
cases of Kazakhstani companies falling under secondary sanctions.
55
On 16 September 2022, Almasadam Satkaliyev, chairman of the board of the National Welfare
Fund Samruk-Kazyna, said that the fund carefully monitors compliance with sanctions and is ready
51
52
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/31854114.html
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/tokaev-vstreche-putinyim-osnovaniy-pessimisticheskih-475850/
53
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/timur-suleymenov-v-es-my-sdelaem-vse-vozmozhnoe-chtoby-kontrolirovat-sanktsionnye-tovary
54
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/kazahstan-obsudil-evrosoyuzom-predotvraschenie-vliyaniya-471432/
55
https://www.zakon.kz/6024764-putina-v-kazakhstane-zhdut-v-seredine-oktiabria.html
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to leave all projects that violate the anti-Russian sanctions. According to Satkaliyev, in order to
avoid risks, the fund is in constant close contact with Western partners.
56
On 30 November 2022, Deputy Foreign Minister Roman Vasilenko said that Kazakhstan "does not
allow its territory to be used to circumvent sanctions".
57
However, the reality shows that Kazakhstan has become an economic rear to circumvent international
sanctions and restrictions that have been imposed on Russia due to the war against Ukraine.
Re-registration and relocation of Russian companies
In the first 2 months of 2022, a flood of foreign companies left Kazakhstan. However, after the Russian
military invasion of Ukraine and the imposition of sanctions against Russia, the number of foreign-owned
companies in Kazakhstan began to rise rapidly. The monthly increase in the number of such companies
was about 4%, whereas in 2021 the monthly increase was only about 1%. This huge surge was due to the
entry of companies from Russia and Belarus. From January to May 2022, the increase in the number of
foreign companies was 2,416, of which 1,566 came from Russia and 120 from Belarus.
58
In total, some
13,000 companies from the Russian Federation and branches of Russian companies were operating in
Kazakhstan as of May 2022 (out of a total of 40,200 foreign companies). Russian companies that have
relocated to Kazakhstan (so-called "relocated companies") have gained access to international financial
services and free imports of sanctioned goods for Russia.
On 26 May 2022, Tokayev said during a plenary session of the Eurasian Economic Forum that he had
ordered the creation of "the most favoured regime for Russian entrepreneurs".
59
President Tokayev has
instructed the Kazakhstani government to "prepare a favourable environment for the relocation of foreign
businesses that have ceased operations in Russia", in particular through the financial hub the Astana
International Financial Centre (AIFC).
60
As of the end of May 2022, some 200 companies from Russia were
registered by the AIFC.
61
Commenting on Tokayev's initiative, Alexander Shokhin, president of the Russian
Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs, said that the creation of joint ventures with Kazakhstan would
allow these companies to be "removed from the threats and risks associated with secondary sanctions".
62
In July 2022, Kazakhstan's Minister of Industry and Infrastructure Development, Kairbek Uskenbayev, said
that 23 companies worth about USD 8.9bn are planned to relocate from Russia to Kazakhstan. These
companies are focused on such products as electrical engineering and automotive electronics, mineral
fertilisers, locomotive assembly and others. At the moment, 14 projects worth USD 444 million have been
implemented as part of industrial cooperation between Russia and Kazakhstan.
63
Thus, it allows Russian
companies relocated to Kazakhstan to freely acquire and re-export components and equipment for the
Russian military-industrial complex.
In August 2022, the Prime Minister of the Republic of Kazakhstan Alikhan Smailov said the Kazakhstani
authorities were working to move some 250 companies that left the Russian market to Kazakhstan. "These
56
57
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/samruk-kazyna-obeshchaet-vyyti-iz-narushayushchikh-antirossiyskie-sanktsii-proektov
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/kazakhstan-ne-pozvolyaet-ispolzovat-svoyu-territoriyu-dlya-obkhoda-sanktsiy-mid
58
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/rossiyskie-kompanii-pereezjayut-v-kazahstan-statistika-471971/
59
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/tokaev-rasskazal-poruchenii-rossiyskim-biznesmenam-469531/
60
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5459864
61
https://www.inform.kz/ru/rossiyskie-kompanii-proyavlyayut-bol-shoy-interes-k-mfca_a3937542
62
https://24.kz/ru/news/economyc/item/550519-rossijskie-promyshlenniki-rassmatrivayut-uglublenie-kooperatsii-s-kazakhstanom
63
https://informburo.kz/novosti/relokaciya-kompanij-iz-rossii-minindustrii-gotovit-23-proekta
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are mostly Western companies in non-resource sectors. We have made a target list, we have given
information that Kazakhstan is interested in them coming to work in our market,"
Smailov said.
64
"Parallel import"
After the military invasion, major international companies announced that they would cease operations
on the Russian market. In response, the Russian authorities said they would import goods without the
permission of their producers.
In March 2022, the Kazakhstani government announced its intention to abolish the requirement for labels
in Kazakh on imported goods, which would allow the re-export of imported goods from Kazakhstan to
Russia.
65
In late April 2022, the Russian government legalised so-called "parallel imports" of goods in order
to "meet the demand for goods containing the results of intellectual activity". In effect, smuggling was
legalised in Russia. The Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade has compiled a list of about 200 brands
whose products can be imported into Russia without the permission of the rights holder.
66
In early May 2022, Yerkebulan Orazalin, head of Almaty's Business and Investment Department, said that
major Russian retailers Magnit and Lenta have asked for help in arranging supplies of goods to Russia from
abroad. "Now
to a greater extent, negotiations are underway to import foreign goods through Kazakhstan.
This is a complicated process associated with a number of international restrictions,"
Orazalin said. The
Kazakhstani government has entrusted the coordination of this process to the Kazakhstani Chamber of
Entrepreneurs Atameken.
67
On 25 May 2022, reports emerged that major Russian retail chains had started selling appliances from
well-known global brands (Apple, Samsung, PlayStation, Xbox, etc.) imported under parallel import
conditions.
68
Such equipment first goes to one of the EAEU countries (Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan)
and then from there to Russia without the consent of the rights holder. According to some reports, the
Russian authorities have consulted with Iranian representatives on how to circumvent Western sanctions
and restrictions. According to Russian media reports, representatives of companies that have left the
Russian market are not opposed to their products entering Russia through other countries.
69
Through "parallel imports", Russia has begun to import both household appliances, clothing and food
products, as well as cars and car parts. For example, in June 2022, it was reported that Toyota and Lexus
dealers were importing car parts and consumables into Russia through Kazakhstan. "The scheme is simple:
the dealer in Kazakhstan buys a little more for himself and transfers the surplus to Moscow," the source
said.
70
Some Lexus dealers are importing new vehicles through Kazakhstan. In November 2022, it was
revealed that MAN truck tractors and Schmitz semi-trailers continue to be shipped to Russia with the help
of Kazakhstani companies.
71
In August 2022, Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin said during talks with the Prime Minister of
Kazakhstan Alikhan Smailov that the states see "good prospects for the implementation of joint import
substitution programmes". The sides also discussed the supply of "products required for industrial
64
65
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5526772
https://kapital.kz/economic/103968/v-rk-khotyat-vremenno-otmenit-etiketki-na-gosyazyke-dlya-importnykh-tovarov.html
66
https://www.cnews.ru/news/top/2022-04-24_vlasti_razreshat_seryj
67
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/krupnyie-rossiyskie-reteyleryi-hotyat-postavlyat-tovaryi-467822/
68
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5423930
69
https://www.cnews.ru/news/top/2022-05-25_v_rossii_nachalsya_parallelnyj
70
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/dilerov-toyota-i-lexus-ulichili-vo-vvoze-raskhodnikov-i-novykh-avto-v-rossiyu-cherez-
kazakhstan?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=cpc
71
https://www.facebook.com/groups/ActivistsNotExtremists/posts/3434175103568415/
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cooperation" and "unimpeded export of goods", which probably implies increased volumes of "parallel
imports".
72
Between May and August 2022, some USD 6.5 billion worth of goods were imported into Russia under
the parallel import scheme. By early December 2022, more than USD 20 billion worth of goods had been
imported into Russia under this scheme, including "cars, machines, equipment, processing
lines.”
73
According to Kazakhstan's National Statistics Bureau, in the first half of 2022, electronics exports from
Kazakhstan to Russia increased significantly. For example, exports of mobile phones increased more than
2,000 times, from USD 37,000 to USD 78 million, compared to 2021. Imports of other electronics to Russia
from Kazakhstan - laptops, processors, controllers, memory cards, smart cards, etc. - have also increased
significantly.
74
According to the Economic Research Institute, between January and August 2022, "exports of televisions,
monitors and projectors increased by 312 times, computers by 215 times and telephones by 88 times".
75
The EU has expressed concern about the abnormal increase in imports of consumer electronics from the
EU to Kazakhstan and the increase in shipments of white goods from Kazakhstan to Russia, as components
of some goods may be used for "military purposes".
76
According to official statistics, in 2022 total exports of goods from Kazakhstan to Russia increased by
15.1% compared to 2021 (up to KZT 5.9 billion). The largest increase was seen in exports of machinery,
equipment, vehicles, instruments and devices - by 284%.
77
One of the largest sites through which parallel imports are carried out has been Russia's largest online
retailer Wildberries. After the launch of parallel imports, the company increased the area of its logistics
centre in Kazakhstan by 2.5 times (up to 10,000 sq. m.) to "give local sellers space to increase their
assortment". Between January and May 2022, sellers from Kazakhstan increased their turnover at the site
by 584%.
78
Assistance in lifting sanction restrictions for the purchase of Russian subsidiary banks and for the
operation of Russian payment systems in Kazakhstan
International sanctions have been imposed against the largest Russian banks, which traditionally occupy
a significant part of Kazakhstan's banking sector. Kazakhstan's leadership,
through its state agencies
in
Kazakhstan, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the National Bank of Kazakhstan, the Agency for
Regulation and Development of the Financial Market and National Management Holding Baiterek, has
lobbied the West to ease or lift sanctions against financial institutions and instruments,
including
Sberbank Kazakhstan, Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan and Mir payment system.
79, 80, 81, 82, 83
On 6 April 2022, two
banks owned by Russian shareholders, Sberbank Kazakhstan and Alfa-Bank, came under US blocking
sanctions.
84
72
73
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/smailov-mishustinu-nam-sleduet-prodolzhat-rabotu-s-uchetom-vzaimnykh-interesov
https://www.rbc.ru/rbcfreenews/63a03d539a794723e774bb17
74
https://lenta.ru/news/2022/08/18/kzexport/
75
https://rus.azattyk.org/a/32131171.html
76
https://www.gazeta.ru/business/news/2022/10/30/18914299.shtml
77
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/eksport-tovarov-iz-kazahstana-v-rossiyu-vyiros-za-god-485209/
78
https://oborot.ru/news/wildberries-v-25-raza-uvelichil-ploshhadi-logisticheskogo-centra-v-kazahstane-i161490.html
79
https://ru.sputnik.kz/20221210/byvshuyu-dochku-sberbanka-v-kazakhstane-vyvodyat-iz-pod-sanktsiy--30227589.html
80
https://kapital.kz/finance/107325/v-eco-center-bank-prokommentirovali-isklyucheniye-iz-sanktsionnogo-spiska-ssha.html
81
https://www.dw.com/ru/banki-kazahstana-polucili-razresenie-ssa-na-operacii-s-kartami-mir/a-64047616
82
https://kz.kursiv.media/2022-10-14/ofac-prodlilo-do-konca-goda-srok-zaversheniya-sdelok-s-byvshej-dochkoj-sberbanka/
83
https://informburo.kz/novosti/alfa-bank-kazaxstan-mozet-vyiti-iz-sankcionnogo-spiska-posle-pokupki-bck
84
https://www.forbes.ru/finansy/461649-sberbank-i-al-fa-bank-popali-pod-blokiruusie-sankcii-ssa-cto-eto-znacit
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Deal made in relation to Sberbank Kazakhstan:
The only shareholder of Sberbank Kazakhstan at the time of the sanctions list was the Russian Joint Stock
Company Sberbank of Russia. Its ultimate shareholder is the Central Bank of the Russian Federation.
85
On
13 April 2022, Timur Kulibayev, son-in-law of former Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbayev,
purchased part of the loan portfolio of sanctioned Sberbank Kazakhstan through his subsidiary Halyk Bank
(translated as “Peoples'
Savings Bank”).
The deal was valued at more than USD 730 million.
86
On 30 May 2022, the shareholder of Sberbank Kazakhstan, Sberbank Russia, decided to pay a shareholder
dividend of 99.99% of Sberbank Kazakhstan's net profit, which was approximately USD 300 million).
87
On 188 August 2022, the Kazakhstani government-backed financial holding Baiterek purchased the entire
block of shares in Sberbank Kazakhstan from a Russian shareholder.
88
The amount of the deal was not
disclosed, but it should be taken into account: 1) that the capital of Sberbank Kazakhstan at the end of
2021 was about USD 900 million; 2) declared dividends at the end of 2021 amounted to about USD 300
million; 3) 25% of the loan portfolio of Sberbank Kazakhstan was sold for USD 730 million.
89
This allows
us to conclude that the
amount of the deal exceeds USD 2 billion. Thanks to the efforts of the
Kazakhstani authorities, the Russian economy received this amount.
Since the government is the sole
shareholder of Baiterek holding, the bank was in fact bought out with Kazakhstani taxpayer funds. After
the rebranding, the bank is called
Bereke Bank.
90
The Kazakhstani authorities are trying to have the renamed bank removed from the sanctions list.
91
The
active lobbying of the Kazakhstani state agencies for the lifting of sanctions imposed on Sberbank
Kazakhstan is confirmed by the report of the Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial
Market of Kazakhstan: "The
joint efforts of the Agency, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan and
the Baiterek National Management Holding have enabled the extension of the licence term by OFAC to
enable the transaction with Bereke Bank JSC to be completed by 31 December of this year".
92
Thanks to active lobbying by the Kazakhstani authorities, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) of
the US Department of the Treasury issued a general licence which extended the deadline for completing
transactions with Sberbank Kazakhstan JSC by three months, from 13 April 2022 to 12 July 2022.
Subsequently, this licence was extended until the end of 2022. This means that during this period the bank
will continue to operate in a normal mode and its customers will have access to transactions with
85
86
https://forbes.kz/ranking/object/7
https://www.google.com.ua/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwjyuIal0ov8AhUFqIsKHQ1GB70QFnoECA0QAQ&url=https%3A%2
F%2Fwww.forbes.ru%2Ffinansy%2F462367-narodnyj-bank-kazahstana-vykupil-tret-kreditnogo-portfela-mestnoj-docki-
sbera&usg=AOvVaw1jSOFjZ_ApoRI7gCTY61jk
87
https://kapital.kz/finance/106005/sberbank-kazakhstan-napravit-99-9-chistoy-pribyli-za-2021-god-na-vyplatu-dividendov.html
88
https://forbes.kz/ranking/object/7
89
https://forbes.kz/ranking/object/7#:~:text=%D0%A0%D0%B5%D0%B9%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B3%20%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%B
E%D0%B2%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B0%D1%85%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B0%20(%D0%B8%D1%8E%D0%BD%D1%8C%202022)
&text=%D0%9F%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%B0%D0%BC%202021%20%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B0%20%D0%94%D0%91,%
D1%81%20%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%88%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%B5%D0%B3%D0%BE%20%D1%82%D1%80%D0%
B5%D1%82%D1%8C%D0%B5%D0%B3%D0%BE%20%E2%80%93%20378%20%D0%BC%D0%BB%D1%80%D0%B4.
90
https://kapital.kz/finance/108841/sberbank-kazakhstan-ofitsial-no-pereimenovan-v-bereke-bank.html
91
https://ru.sputnik.kz/20221210/byvshuyu-dochku-sberbanka-v-kazakhstane-vyvodyat-iz-pod-sanktsiy--30227589.html
92
https://www.google.com.ua/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwiPxMbV0ov8AhVixosKHdDgBE4QFnoECAgQAQ&url=https%3A%
2F%2Fkz.kursiv.media%2F2022-10-14%2Fofac-prodlilo-do-konca-goda-srok-zaversheniya-sdelok-s-byvshej-dochkoj-
sberbanka%2F&usg=AOvVaw0ttGRYUWPAfDbnMVoxPcrl
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payments and transfers in tenge and roubles (taxes, duties, social contributions, etc.) without any
restrictions on amounts.
93
Kanat Sharlapayev, the head of Baiterek Holding, said that the holding plans to sell Sberbank Kazakhstan
(Bereke Bank) after the bank is removed from sanctions and resumes operations. "The dialogue on the
removal of this bank from the sanctions lists in the case of the presence of state shareholders is greatly
facilitated,"
94
Sharlapayev said. It was thus confirmed that the change of shareholders was needed to
formally lift sanctions against the bank. It is possible that in the future the bank will again be returned to
the former Russian shareholders through shell companies. Sharlapayev made the unusual statement that
preference should be given to foreign investors.
Deal made in relation to Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan:
On 20 April 2022, Kazakhstan-based Bank Center Credit announced the purchase of sanctioned Alfa-Bank
Kazakhstan, a subsidiary of sanctioned Alfa-Bank Russia.
95
The exact purchase price paid to the Russian
shareholder was not disclosed.
The new owner renamed Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan to Eco Center Bank. The seller's and buyer's websites
explicitly stated that "the measures taken will facilitate the bank's removal from the sanctions lists of the
US and several other countries". Following public criticism on social media by civil society and the
opposition, the message disappeared from the websites of both financial institutions on the same day.
On the morning of 21 April 2022, an updated version of the press release appeared, which no longer
suggested "facilitating" the bank's removal from the sanctions list.
96
On 6 September 2022, Eco Center Bank announced that it had ceased to exist and merged with Bank
CenterCredit.
97
As practice has shown, a formal change of ownership has proven to be an effective mechanism for lifting
sanctions imposed on former Russian banks:
In July 2022, the US lifted sanctions imposed on Eco Centre Bank.
98
To get sanctions lifted from the
bank, representatives of the Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan for Regulation and
Development of Financial Market visited the US, where they "explained" the details of the deal to
the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC).
99
In the case of the change of Sberbank Kazakhstan's shareholders, the US also accommodated the
new shareholders and extended the licence until 31 December 2022, the deadline for completing
the change of ownership of Sberbank Kazakhstan.
100
Kazakhstan is one of the few countries where the Russian Mir payment system operates. In August 2022,
Sberbank Kazakhstan began issuing Mir payment cards. The Bank's customers who issued Mir cards were
able to access most transactions - replenishing and withdrawing cash from ATMs, making payments for
goods and services via POS terminals, and ecom-operations in the network of Mir payment system
93
94
https://kapital.kz/finance/106005/sberbank-kazakhstan-napravit-99-9-chistoy-pribyli-za-2021-god-na-vyplatu-dividendov.html
https://tengrinews.kz/money/bayterek-planiruet-prodat-sberbank-kazahstan-477672/
95
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/bank-tsentrkredit-priobretaet-alfa-bank-kazahstan-466922/
96
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/31814099.html
97
https://tengrinews.kz/money/eco-center-bank-obyyavil-o-prekraschenii-svoey-deyatelnosti-477148/
98
https://frankrg.com/78535
99
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/kazakhstan-baiterek-sber-sanctioned-bank/32031450.html
100
https://kz.kursiv.media/2022-10-14/ofac-prodlilo-do-konca-goda-srok-zaversheniya-sdelok-s-byvshej-dochkoj-sberbanka/
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partners.
101
In September 2022, the US Department of Treasury expressed its willingness to impose
sanctions on financial institutions that help use Mir cards outside of Russia.
102
The US Department of Treasury acknowledged that such institutions "support Russia's efforts to
circumvent sanctions". Following a warning from the US Department of Treasury, one of Kazakhstan's
largest banks, Halyk Bank, temporarily suspended transactions with Mir payment cards at ATMs.
103
Other
major Kazakhstani banks - VTB, Bereke Bank (formerly Sberbank), Bank CenterCredit - have left the
possibility for Mir cardholders to withdraw money from ATMs. On 6 April 2022, the National Bank of
Kazakhstan said it would not interfere with banks' cooperation with the Mir payment system.
104
On 8 December 2022, through lobbying by the Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial
Market of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the US Department of Treasury permitted individuals, namely
Russian nationals, travelling to Kazakhstan to continue to use the Mir payment system in Kazakhstan.
105
Circumventing financial sanctions
Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Yerulan Zhamaubayev confirmed that Kazakhstan and Russia
are negotiating the purchase of the Russian share (66% controlling interest) of the Eurasian Development
Bank (EDB) by Kazakhstan in order to prevent sanctions against the EDB.
106
In June 2022, Russian media reported that the Russian Central Bank, the St Petersburg Stock Exchange
and major brokers (notably Freedom Holding Corp.) were considering the idea of creating a separate stock
exchange in Kazakhstan so that Russians could trade in foreign securities through it to circumvent Western
sanctions. The new stock exchange could be created on the basis of the Astana International Financial
Centre. It is also worth noting that Moscow Exchange owns a 13% stake in the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange
(KASE).
107
In October 2022, Ukraine approved sanctions against Timur Turlov and investment company Freedom
Finance Ukraine, which is part of Freedom Holding Corp. headquartered in Almaty. The National Security
and Defence Council of Ukraine has blocked all assets of the company and its clients. The founder and
major shareholder of Freedom Holding Corp. Timur Turlov was born in Russia, but in June 2022 he changed
his citizenship to Kazakhstan. In October 2022, it was announced that the company's Russian assets
(Freedom Finance) were sold to one of its top managers, Maxim Povalishin.
108
Likely, this was Turlov's way
of trying to avoid sanctions. After the sale, the company's corporate ties remained the same, as Russian
Freedom Finance is a participant in Kazakhstan's Freedom Finance JSC.
109
It is worth noting that 91% of
the authorised capital of Freedom Finance Ukraine belongs to Askar Tashtitov, president of Freedom
Holding Corp. After being put on the Ukraine sanctions list, Timur Turlov said that the sanctions were
101
102
https://forbes.kz//finances/finance/v_kazahstane_nachali_vyipuskat_kartyi_mir/?
https://meduza.io/news/2022/09/15/minfin-ssha-prigrozil-sanktsiyami-tem-kto-pomogaet-ispolzovat-karty-mir-za-predelami-
rossii?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=main&fbclid=IwAR3fRF5U0068YXYg_RQB3ggdH0k2eBx1izak17jqsMBMR5BF4S6-TXJzDDI
103
https://meduza.io/news/2022/09/21/krupneyshiy-bank-kazahstana-perestal-prinimat-karty-mir-v-
bankomatah?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=main&fbclid=IwAR1RrQJ5nNn_HbdiMvV0VPlFHubp8_OpLhCQORfwsw6iv05qXPq735oMctU
104
https://ria.ru/20220406/mir-1782020251.html
105
https://www.gov.kz/memleket/entities/ardfm/press/news/details/473187?lang=ru
106
https://tengrinews.kz/sng/kazahstan-obsujdaet-sdelku-pokupke-doli-rossii-eabr-vitse-475519/
107
https://frankrg.com/74360
108
https://forbes.ua/ru/money/sanktsii-dlya-eksrosiyanina-yak-vlashtovaniy-kholding-freedom-finance-timura-turlova-vartistyu-35-mlrd-shcho-potrapiv-do-
spiskiv-rnbo-35-mlrd-grn-ukrainskikh-investoriv-zablokovani-28112022-10062
109
https://almaty-ffin.kz/
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imposed "mechanically" and expressed confidence that they would manage to be removed from the
sanctions list in late 2022 or early 2023.
110
Shortly after Russia's military invasion of Ukraine, information emerged about the relocation of top
managers and employees of Russian Freedom Finance to Kazakhstan. It was also reported that the
relocated employees would continue to work with Russian clients and facilitate the transfer of their
brokerage accounts to Freedom Finance Global (a Kazakhstan subsidiary of Freedom Holding Corp.
registered in the Astana International Financial Centre).
111
In November 2022, in one week alone, the volume of trading with the Kazakh Tenge on the Moscow
Exchange increased 3-4 times compared to summer 2022, indicating that Russian businessmen use
payment intermediaries in Kazakhstan to conduct international financial transactions, including the
purchase of sanctioned goods.
112
Military cooperation
In the Russia-Ukraine war Kazakhstan is trying to create a picture of neutrality and does not openly
support either side of the conflict. At the same time, the Kazakhstani authorities, through the Ministry of
Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan and Kazakhstani embassies abroad, actively inform Western
politicians that they fear Russian military aggression and the occupation of Northern and Western
Kazakhstan. However, during the months of full-scale war, cooperation between Kazakhstan and Russia
has only intensified.
Kazakhstan and Russia are members of a politico-military bloc, the Collective Security Treaty Organisation
(CSTO). As such, military cooperation between Kazakhstan and Russia is very close and of strategic
dimension. At the end of 2021, Russia and Kazakhstan signed a program of the strategic military
partnership for 2022-2024. On 17 February 2022, the Kazakh Senate ratified a new treaty on military
cooperation between Kazakhstan and Russia, which was signed back in 2020.
Despite a full-scale war in Ukraine, and alleged fears of Russian military invasion, Kazakhstan continues to
participate in joint military exercises with Russia.
In April 2022, Kazakhstan hosted the Regional Security - 2022 command post exercise of the CIS Common
Regional Air Defence System (CRAS). The aim of the exercise was to practise the use of the forces of the
united regional air defence system of Kazakhstan and Russia. "The main goals and objectives of the joint
exercise are... to practise cooperation in the preparation and conduct of combat operations by troops
(forces) of the Unified Кegional Air Defence System of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Russian
Federation in the Central Asian region of collective security, and to study problematic issues in the joint
use of troops (forces)," Russian Colonel General Yuriy Grekhov.
113
Kazakhstan participated in exercise Vostok 2022, which took place from 1-7 September 2022 in Russia.
Kazakhstan participates annually in the Army International Games (AIG), an international military
competition organised by Russia. Teams from authoritarian states from around the world traditionally
take part in the competition. In 2022, Kazakhstan not only participated in the competition, but also hosted
110
111
https://kapital.kz/finance/111235/timur-turlov-ukrainskiye-sanktsii-byli-nalozheny-mekhanicheski.html
https://frankrg.com/80575
112
https://rus.azattyq-ruhy.kz/economics/43686-rossiiane-perekhodiat-na-tenge-valiutu-rekordno-skupaiut-na-moskovskoi-birzhe
113
https://ru.sputnik.kz/20220413/kazakhstan-i-rossiya-proveli-sovmestnye-ucheniya-po-pvo-24172035.html
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some of them on its territory. In August 2022, a joint military special forces exercise between Kazakhstan
and Belarus was held.
114
The exercise was conducted in Kazakhstan.
115
There are three military sites in Kazakhstan that Russia rents and conducts tests of new and advanced
weapons there. For example, the last such test took place on 2 December 2022, when Russia tested a new
missile-defence system rocket at the Sary Shagan test site in Kazakhstan.
116
On 23 June 2022, Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu held
talks with Kazakhstan’s Defence Minister
Ruslan Zhaksylykov and said that "the Russian military sees Kazakhstan as Russia's main strategic ally and
most important partner.”
117
Kazakhstan's Defence Minister said that the treaty on developing military
cooperation between the two states will develop further.
In addition, Russia uses the Caspian Sea water area to launch missiles at Ukrainian territory. In 2018, the
five Caspian states (including Russia and Kazakhstan) signed the Convention on the Legal Status of the
Caspian Sea, agreeing to use the sea for peaceful purposes. Missiles are launched into Ukrainian territory
directly from the airspace, which is controlled by Russia and Kazakhstan, but Kazakhstan has not officially
reacted in any way.
118
In November 2022, Vadym Skibitsky, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Defence Ministry's Main Directorate
of Intelligence, said that Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan were supplying Russia with "American and Japanese
civilian components" needed to build missiles.
119
The Kazakhstani authorities said this information was
untrue. The Security Service of Ukraine revealed that the management of a Ukrainian company "has
established supplies of components for repair and maintenance of the machine-building industry. These
are gears, sectional pumps, hydraulic motors and hydraulic equipment, which are used in military
equipment, among other things".
120
One of the countries through whose territory relevant goods have
been shipped to Russia is Kazakhstan.
Civil society and the opposition in Kazakhstan periodically publish photo and video evidence of military
equipment sent to Russia from Kazakhstan, truck tractors of European manufacturers, which are banned
for re-export due to sanctions. However, the Kazakhstani authorities successfully use verbal denials on
any published facts of arms, heavy equipment transfers from Kazakhstan to Russia. Thus, Kazakhstan itself
refutes its own propaganda that the country observes neutrality and is afraid of invasion of the territory
of Kazakhstan by Russian troops.
121, 122
4. DISINFORMATION OPERATIONS TO CREATE AN IMAGINARY CONFRONTATION BETWEEN RUSSIA
AND KAZAKHSTAN
Kazakhstan, as a member of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) - in which Russia actually leads - plays
an important role in Russia's circumvention of international sanctions. Kazakhstan has successfully used
disinformation campaigns and rhetoric to create and maintain an image of an "independent" or at least
114
115
https://24.kz/ru/news/social/item/561433-armi-2022-kazakhstan-v-trojke-liderov
https://informburo.kz/novosti/specnazy-kazaxstana-i-belarusi-provodyat-uceniya-v-almatinskoi-i-zetysuskoi-oblastyax
116
https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/rosiya-provela-kazahstani-viprobuvannya-novoyi-1669971348.html
117
https://function.mil.ru/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12426273@egNews&fbclid=IwAR2dZDk6mp-mLyy9-
FJMfEdswDGW9zAV52P3hlNQlR6DTaxhnp__Tp1Jrfs&mibextid=onnTyB&fs=e&s=cl
118
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/32145041.html
119
https://www.repubblica.it/esteri/2022/10/31/news/ucraina_servizi_segreti_iran_addestra_russi_crimea-372441671/
120
https://sud.ua/ru/news/ukraine/256237-sbu-razoblachila-ukrainskoe-predpriyatie-postavlyavshee-v-rf-zapchasti-dlya-voennoy-tekhniki-foto
121
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/minoboronyi-otvetili-informatsiyu-perevozke-tankov-rossiyu-485611/
122
https://tengrinews.kz/news/kazahstan-otpravlyaet-voennuyu-tehniku-rossiyu-minoboronyi-479037/
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"neutral" from Russia Kazakhstan. The following examples demonstrate how the appearance of
"confrontation" between the two countries has been created and maintained, as well as the image of a
supposedly "independent" from Russia Kazakhstan, which could supposedly be the target of the next
Russian invasion after Ukraine.
Positioning Kazakhstan as a "victim of an alleged attack" by Russia
Kazakhstan and Russia are engaged in a disinformation campaign involving Russian deputies and
propagandists who make provocative and aggressive statements about Kazakhstan.
123,124
The Kazakhstani
authorities use these statements to promote their propaganda in the West as evidence of threats from
Russia. With their help, the Kazakhstani authorities seek cooperation from the West and completely
ignore Kazakhstan's assistance to Russia in circumventing the sanctions. Through such simple
disinformation techniques, the Kazakhstani authorities avoid secondary sanctions.
Information noise to divert attention from the change of shareholders of Russian-sanctioned banks in
Kazakhstan
On 13 April 2022, the Ministry of Defence of the Republic of Kazakhstan stated that Kazakhstan has no
plans to hold a military parade for Victory Day
125
in 2022.
126
On 24 April 2022, Tigran Keosayan, the
husband of Margarita Simonyan, editor-in-chief
of “Russia Today”, responded by publishing a video
message in which he made several statements against Kazakhstan, hinting that Kazakhstan may face
Ukraine's fate.
127
In response, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan said that Tigran Keosayan may
be included in the list of persons banned from entering Kazakhstan.
128
In the media clamour of "confrontation", the news that Timur Kulibayev, son-in-law of Nursultan
Nazarbayev, bought a part of the loan portfolio of the sanctioned Sberbank Kazakhstan from a Russian
shareholder on 13 April 2022, went unnoticed.
129
The news that
on 20 April 2022,
Kazakhstan's Bank CenterCredit announced its purchase of sanctioned
Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan, a subsidiary of sanctioned Alfa-Bank Russia, also received little attention.
130
123
124
https://newtimes.kz/mir/157288-rossijskij-politik-obespokoilsya-polozheniem-russkih-v-kazahstane
https://ulysmedia.kz/news/15605-kazakhstan-sleduiushchaia-problema-posle-ukrainy-kak-v-kremle-otreagirovali-na-skandalnye-vyskazyvaniia/
125
A holiday celebrated annually in Russia and in some of the former Soviet Union countries on 9 May to commemorate the victory in the Second World
War. Russian state propaganda uses the holiday to promote the cult of the so-called "Great Victory", which is an important element of Putin's modern
Russian ideology.
126
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/v-kazahstane-ne-budet-voennogo-parada-v-den-pobedyi-466348/
127
https://www.currenttime.tv/a/31825707.html
128
https://russian.eurasianet.org/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B0%D1%85%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BD-%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%BB-%D0%BE%D1%
82%D0%BF%D0%BE%D1%80-%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BC%D1%83-%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B9%D1%81
%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BC%D1%83-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BF%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D1%83
129
https://forbes.kz//leader/hroniki_milliarderov_1650595294/?fbclid=IwAR0hCb3BCEpSf5lYyV4LzJrsWRzt3T1WKvvNTXuqSCx_R4WRsnrURwXyS_w
130
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/bank-tsentrkredit-priobretaet-alfa-bank-kazahstan-466922/
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Tokayev's speech at the St Petersburg Economic Forum
On 17 April 2022, as the only leader of a foreign state at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, Tokayev
declared "non-recognition of the quasi-state territories of Luhansk and Donetsk".
131
In doing so, he
provoked a storm of positive comments from the Ukrainian media, politicians and bloggers, as well as
from Russian opposition and public figures.
132, 133, 134, 135, 136
Many Ukrainian and Russian (opposition)
activists perceived Tokayev's statements as a "slap in the face for Putin". The Russian leadership
responded negatively with statements from Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov: "When Kazakhstan began
to lose its sovereignty, who helped? Russia, without fear of sanctions".
137
Konstantin Zatulin, deputy
chairman of the committee of the State Duma for the CIS, also commented on Tokayev's words: "When
no one expects anything from them, they could at least keep quiet".
138
However, the supposed "confrontation" between the Kazakhstani and Russian leaderships did not remain
at the level of rhetoric. To reinforce the picture of "cooling" of relations between Kazakhstan and Russia,
information fakes were spread that Russia had allegedly restricted the shipment of Kazakhstani oil
through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), which runs through Russian territory, while Kazakhstan
had allegedly in response blocked 1,700 railcars with Russian coal on Kazakhstan’s territory.
139, 140
After
false news reports spread across Ukrainian and international media, the Kazakhstani authorities denied
reports of blocking 1,700 railcars with Russian coal, as well as reports of alleged restrictions on shipments
of Kazakhstani oil.
141, 142, 143, 144
Refutations were necessary because there was in fact no restriction on the
shipment of Kazakhstani oil and no blocking of railcars with Russian coal; the main goal of creating the
appearance of "confrontation" had already been achieved through the mass distribution of fake news.
Such disinformation techniques have been used systematically over the past year.
131
132
https://www.currenttime.tv/a/tokaev-na-forume-nazval-dnr-i-lnr-kvazigosudarstvennymi-territoriyami/31903169.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2MEaOnOGmyI
133
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r7OfsKLynoo
134
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JY9aEkf3I6c
135
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7NGGe_Cb3w
136
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHRhtd79XSc
137
https://lenta.ru/news/2022/06/18/odkb/
138
https://lenta.ru/news/2022/06/18/dnrlnr/
139
https://forbes.kz/process/energetics/rossiya_priostanovila_otgruzku_nefti_cherez_ktk/
140
https://focus.ua/world/519488-kazahstan-zablokiroval-1700-vagonov-s-rossiyskim-uglem-smi
141
https://www.epravda.com.ua/rus/news/2022/08/22/690672/
142
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/soobscheniya-blokirovke-rossiyskogo-uglya-kazahstane-nazvali-471330/
143
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/boepripasyi-dne-situatsii-eksportom-kazahstanskoy-nefti-471333/
144
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/boepripasyi-dne-situatsii-eksportom-kazahstanskoy-nefti-471333/
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Examples of news reports on the alleged suspension of Kazakhstani oil shipments through the CPC and the
blockage of Russian coal in Kazakhstan.
On 24 June 2022, it was reported that Russian propagandist Tigran Keosayan was included by Kazakhstan
in the list of "undesirable persons".
145
This move by Kazakhstan was interpreted by Russian propagandists,
and unfortunately by a number of Russian opposition figures and bloggers, as a retaliatory measure for
allegedly restricting the shipment of Kazakhstani oil. The news was published two months after his
statement, and a week after Tokayev's statement at the St Petersburg Economic Forum, which he made
on 17 June 2022.
On 23 June 2022
the head of Agency for regulation and development of financial market Madina
Abylkasymova has informed that Kazakhstani National Management Holding Baiterek
is negotiating
about the purchase of the sanctioned Sberbank subsidiary in Kazakhstan.
146
The deal was made in
August 2022.
Most journalists in Kazakhstan interpreted Tokayev's statements at the St Petersburg Economic Forum as
a demonstration of an independent position from Putin and an expression of support for Ukraine.
However, commenting on Tokayev's speech at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, Ukrainian Foreign
Minister Dmytro Kuleba cooled down the enthusiasm of Kazakhstani journalists:
"We follow your relations very closely and see that President Tokayev is implementing a policy of
supporting relations with Russia on the one hand, while at the same time defending his country's
sovereignty. But if you have said A, you must also say B. This war is about the violation of the principle of
territorial integrity of the state, which is very important for Kazakhstan. Yes, your president has expressed
a principled position on non-recognition of the LPR and DPR, but Kazakhstan has refused to participate in
the summit of the Crimean platform. Isn't this the same thing?"
147
145
146
https://rus.azattyq.org/a/31912993.html
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/holding-bayterek-vedet-peregovoryi-pokupke-sberbanka-471595/
147
https://exclusive.kz/dmitrij-kuleba-mid-ukrainy-priznaki-gibridnoj-vojny-v-kazahstane-uzhe-est/
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How Kazakhstan avoided sanctions for helping to steal Ukrainian grain
Kazakhstan has been implicated in the scandal surrounding the export of grain from Ukraine, which was
stolen by Russia. The ship Zhibek Zholy, owned by the Kazakhstani company KTZExpressShipping JSC and
leased to the Russian company Green Line LLC, was involved in the export from the occupied port of
Berdyansk of about 7,000 tonnes of grain, which had been stolen by Russia in Ukraine. On 1 July 2022,
Kazakhstan's National Company “Kazakhstan Temir Zholy” stated that the transportation had been carried
out at Ukraine's request. However, this information did not correspond to reality. According to the vessel's
lease agreement, the ship owner had the right to terminate the contract if the lessee was subject to
international sanctions. However, the Kazakhstani company did not do so.
148
In order to divert attention from the topic of facilitating the theft of Ukrainian grain, the topic of
Kazakhstan's possible involvement in overcoming the energy crisis in Europe was launched into the
information space. On 4 July 2022, President Tokayev had a telephone conversation with the President of
the European Council, Charles Michel, and offered to help stabilise the energy market in Europe.
149
The very next day, on 5 July 2022, a Russian court suspended the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) for
one month, which was seen by many Russian public figures, experts and bloggers as Moscow's response
to Tokayev's offer to help the EU solve its energy crisis.
150, 151
However, the actual violation of Russian law
148
149
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/perevozka-zerna-sudnom-zhibek-zholy-iz-berdyanska-v-turtsiyu-osushchestvlyaetsya-po-prosbe-ukrainy-k
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/prezident-tokaev-pogovoril-s-glavoy-evrosoveta-472391/
150
The Caspian Pipeline Consortium is the company that operates the oil pipeline through which oil from fields in western Kazakhstan is transported to the
Russian port at Novorossiysk.
151
https://tengrinews.kz/world_news/rossiyskiy-sud-priostanovil-deyatelnost-ktk-na-mesyats-472503/
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that formed the basis of the judgement was charged against the Caspian Pipeline Consortium
as early as
6 June 2022.
152
On 6 July 2022,
the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Kazakhstan announced that it was tightening
export rules for goods to Russia, and on 7 July 2022 Tokayev instructed to diversify oil export routes from
Kazakhstan, such as developing a trans-Caspian export route that bypasses Russian territory. However,
the actual capacity of the alternative trans-Caspian route is only about 5% of Kazakhstan's total oil
exports.
153, 154
On 8 July 2022, Tokayev signed a decree announcing Kazakhstan's withdrawal from the CIS
(Commonwealth of Independent States) currency committee.
155
Ukrainian and Russian media and
bloggers perceived such measures as a backlash against Kazakhstan in a series of "confrontational"
measures, but the CIS Currency Committee was
abolished back in 2013.
156, 157
On 11 July 2022, the decision to suspend the CPC for one month was commuted to a fine.
158
On 12 July
2022 Tokayev had a telephone conversation with Putin, in which he "expressed his positive assessment
of the prompt interaction of governments to solve urgent issues of economic, transport and logistics
relations between the two countries".
159, 160
On 13 August 2022, the Minister of Energy of Kazakhstan
Bolat Akchulakov said that Kazakhstan did not intend to transport oil bypassing Russia at the moment.
According to the Minister, the main task is to ensure the smooth operation of the Caspian Pipeline
Consortium, which goes through the territory of Russia.
161
Accordingly, there is no real disagreement
between Kazakhstan and Russia.
Apart from the diversion of attention from the topic of Kazakhstan's involvement in the theft of Ukrainian
grain, the news of 5 July 2022 about the planned merger of Kazakhstan's Bank CenterCredit and Eco
Center Bank (previously the sub-sanctioned Alfa-Bank Kazakhstan, which was bought by Bank
CenterCredit and renamed Eco Center Bank) also went unnoticed.
162
152
153
https://forbes.kz/process/nefteprovod_ktk_priostanovil_rabotu_iz-za_resheniya_rossiyskogo_suda/
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/kazakhstan-mozhet-uzhestochit-pravila-eksporta-tovarov-v-rossiyu
154
https://inbusiness.kz/ru/news/stanet-li-transkaspijskij-marshrut-alternativoj-ktk-i-chto-dlya-etogo-nuzhno
155
https://kapital.kz/finance/107119/kazakhstan-vyshel-iz-soglasheniya-sng-o-valyutnom-komitete.html
156
https://www.epravda.com.ua/rus/news/2022/07/8/689008/
157
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T1jzpW6yqS0&t=170s
158
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/rossiyskiy-sud-izmenil-reshenie-po-ktk-472829/
159
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/prezident-tokaev-dal-poruchenie-po-marshrutam-postavki-nefti-472571/
160
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/tokaev-v-razgovore-s-putinym-polozhitelno-otsenil-vzaimodeystvie-po-ryadu-voprosov
161
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/kazahstan-ne-planiruet-eksport-nefti-azerbaydjan-obhod-rf-475314/
162
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/sliyanie-dvuh-kazahstanskih-bankov-obsudyat-v-avguste-472487/
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Increasing Kazakhstan's military budget for defence against Russia?
At the end of July 2022, on the eve of President Tokayev's visit to Russia to meet with President Putin, the
Ukrainian media, quoting the US publication The Wall Street Journal, published the news that Kazakhstan
had increased its military budget by USD 918 million, allegedly because of the threat of Russian attack.
163
In reality, however, the increase in the security budget is not related to the "risk of aggression from
163
https://www.dialog.ua/war/255915_1658743119?s=09
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OSCE, Alm.del - 2022-23 (2. samling) - Bilag 11: Reports on Kazakhstan Helping Russia Circumvent Western Sanctions - Open Dialogue Foundation
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Russia", but to the need of the Kazakhstani authorities to respond to mass protests by suppressing them
by force. The Kazakhstani authorities decided to strengthen the country's law enforcement agencies in
the aftermath of the January protests, so this increase in funding affects not only the Ministry of Defence
of the Republic of Kazakhstan but also the Interior Ministry and National Guard of Kazakhstan. The bulk
of the funding will go toward increasing the number of personnel, salaries and logistical support as the
security forces prepare to respond to mass protests. The security budget increase came as early as April
2022, during amendments to the law on the republican budget for 2022-2024, but did not become known
to the international community until June 2022.
164
Fake about the cessation of military cooperation between Kazakhstan and Belarus
In July 2022, information began to circulate in Ukrainian telegram channels that Kazakhstan had allegedly
suspended cooperation with Belarus in the field of military education due to Belarus' involvement in
aggression against Ukraine. This news was denied by the Ministry of Defence of the Republic of
Kazakhstan.
165
Fake news about the alleged unwillingness of the Kazakhstani military to co-operate with the Belarusian
army
164
165
https://www.inform.kz/ru/441-mlrd-tenge-predusmotreno-na-povyshenie-boegotovnosti-silovyh-struktur_a3920270
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/rassyilku-prekraschenii-sotrudnichestva-sfere-voennogo-472748/
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OSCE, Alm.del - 2022-23 (2. samling) - Bilag 11: Reports on Kazakhstan Helping Russia Circumvent Western Sanctions - Open Dialogue Foundation
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Fake about the cancellation of teaching Russian in Kazakhstani schools
The Kazakhstani authorities have denied plans to close Russian-language classes in Kazakhstani schools.
166
The Russian language curriculum has undergone changes in line with the decision of the Ministry of
Education of Kazakhstan to start teaching Russian in Kazakh language schools from the second grade and
in Russian language schools from the first grade, but there has been no talk of closing Russian language
classes or abolishing teaching Russian.
167
The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: "We
have noticed
a sharp increase in fakes concerning Russian-Kazakh interaction. We do not rule out the possibility that
those who want to drive a wedge into relations between Russia and Kazakhstan and create an additional
factor of tension between the good neighbours and also within the multi-ethnic state are behind their
creation".
168
Fake about Kazakhstan's withdrawal from the CSTO
In September 2022, a number of media outlets published news that Kazakhstan would allegedly suspend
its membership in the CSTO as of 1 January 2023. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan issued a
denial.
169
The political support of Kazakhstan's leadership for Russia and the CSTO is also confirmed by
the fact that on the day of a massive missile strike on Ukraine, 23 November 2022, Imangali
Tasmagambetov became head of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO). Tasmagambetov is
one of Kazakhstan's most influential officials, close to former President Nursultan Nazarbayev.
Tasmagambetov is a former prime minister of Kazakhstan, former mayor of Astana, former defence
minister and former ambassador of the Republic of Kazakhstan to Moscow.
170, 171
Fake news that Kazakhstan is allegedly going to suspend its membership in the CSTO
166
167
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/rassyilku-otmene-klassov-russkim-yazyikom-obucheniya-475452/
https://primeminister.kz/ru/news/prinyat-vse-mery-dlya-bezopasnosti-nashih-detey-alihan-smailov-dal-porucheniya-k-novomu-uchebnomu-godu-
1672543
168
https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/rossiya-zayavila-o-nalichii-zhelayushchikh-vbit-klin-v-ee-otnosheniya-s-
kazakhstanom?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=cpc
169
https://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/informatsiyu-vyihode-kazahstana-odkb-prokommentirovali-mid-477946/
170
https://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2022/11/23/7377667/
171
https://informburo.kz/novosti/imangali-tasmagambetov-stal-generalnym-sekretaryom-odkb
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5. RECOMMENDATIONS
Immediately shut down Russia's ability to circumvent sanctions through Kazakhstan and other
Central Asian countries in order to achieve the desired result of international sanctions against the
Kremlin;
Introduce personal sanctions against individuals and entities, including government officials, who
facilitate the circumvention of sanctions;
Implement the recommendations of the European Parliament resolution dated 20 January
2022
172
, particularly the requirement for Kazakhstan to allow UN and OSCE experts to conduct an
international investigation into the role of CSTO troops in suppressing peaceful mass protests in
Kazakhstan in January 2022;
Provide political and financial support to independent civil society, the opposition and Kazakhstani
whistleblowers who expose Tokayev's assistance in circumventing international sanctions for the
Kremlin and surrendering Kazakhstan's national interests to Russia;
Curb the misuse of inter-state criminal and civil law cooperation instruments, the conduct of illegal
surveillance on EU territory of the opposition and their loved ones; investigate and stop
propaganda attacks aimed at misleading the EU state authorities and achieve politically motivated
extradition of opposition representatives from the EU countries to Kazakhstan, which
systematically expose Tokayev's assistance in circumventing international sanctions for the
Kremlin and surrendering Kazakhstan's national interests to Russia.
172
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2022-0012_EN.html
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