Klima-, Energi- og Forsyningsudvalget 2021-22
KEF Alm.del Bilag 491
Offentligt
2623306_0001.png
The GHG avoiding potential of night trains
If, as estimated, 32%
of EU aviation
passengers would
shift, this equals
26%
of aviation
and
8.6%
of traffic
emissions.
Klima-, Energi- og Forsyningsudvalget 2021-22
KEF Alm.del - Bilag 491
Offentligt
*incl. a Radiative Forcing Factor (RFF) of non-CO
2
emissions
(3.0 times the CO
2
value using GWP* method)
EU CO
2
e* Emissions 2019
Road
19,03%
Avoidable
3,03%
Aviation (with RFF 3.0)
11,68%
1,54%
by
Night Trains
with up to 125
km/h on 501-1500 km rail distances
1,49%
by
HS Night Trains
at 150
km/h on 1501-3000 km rail distances
Ships
3,62%
Railways
0,21%
Other Transport
0,13%
Other Sectors
65,42%
Source:
EEA
12
The GHG Reduction Potential of Night Trains | 09/2022
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 KEF, Alm.del - 2021-22 - Bilag 491: Henvendelse af 15/9-22 fra Rådet for Bæredygtig Trafik om en ny analyse: 'Nattog kan bidrage overraskende meget til at løse transportens europæiske klimabelastning'
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How does it pay off?
The EU emitted 4732 Mt CO
2
e in 2019
(incl. non-CO
2
RF/GWP*).
3,03 % of these emissions are
143 Mt CO
2
e
every year.
@ 85
€
EU carbon permit price
12 billion
€
13
The GHG Reduction Potential of Night Trains | 09/2022
Back-on-Track.eu
European network to promote
cross-border night trains
 KEF, Alm.del - 2021-22 - Bilag 491: Henvendelse af 15/9-22 fra Rådet for Bæredygtig Trafik om en ny analyse: 'Nattog kan bidrage overraskende meget til at løse transportens europæiske klimabelastning'
2623306_0003.png
What needs to be done?
Making night trains more attractive:
•
Reduce their track access charges
to marginal cost
•
Keep long-term timetable slots
•
Give them equal priority with other long-distance traffic
•
Tax international rail no higher than international aviation
•
Tax mobile hotels no higher than stationary ones
•
Charge according to environmental cost
Almost cost-neutral when confined
to sleeper services, but important
to serve higher travel distances and
thus increase market share
14
The GHG Reduction Potential of Night Trains | 09/2022
Back-on-Track.eu
European network to promote
cross-border night trains
 KEF, Alm.del - 2021-22 - Bilag 491: Henvendelse af 15/9-22 fra Rådet for Bæredygtig Trafik om en ny analyse: 'Nattog kan bidrage overraskende meget til at løse transportens europæiske klimabelastning'
2623306_0004.png
What needs to be done?
Investing in new rolling stock:
250 M additional passengers per year need
2066
new
night trains
with 10 coaches and 414 berths each that may go everywhere with at least 200
km/h
(approx. 67 B
€*
order volume)
112 M additional passengers per year need
488
new
HS night trains
with 788 berths each in sleeper and couchette coaches that may go almost
everywhere with up to 270 km/h
(approx. 30 B
€*
order volume)
2554 new night trains
97 B
€
order volume*
@ 85
€
EU carbon permit price
amortised within
8 years.
* Estimate based on published order volumes:
400 M € for 140 coaches
and
75 M for 15 multi-system engines
and
335 M € for 12 trainsets
15
The GHG Reduction Potential of Night Trains | 09/2022
Back-on-Track.eu
European network to promote
cross-border night trains
 KEF, Alm.del - 2021-22 - Bilag 491: Henvendelse af 15/9-22 fra Rådet for Bæredygtig Trafik om en ny analyse: 'Nattog kan bidrage overraskende meget til at løse transportens europæiske klimabelastning'
2623306_0005.png
What about road traffic?
As the modal shift from road to rail has a much lower climate saving potential than the shift
from air to rail, the GHG reduction potential of road traffic was
not yet considered.
We think that night trains are not set to be an alternative for budget-sensitive coach
travellers. However, an attractive night train net would inevitably make car travellers shift,
which represent 57% of all travellers on 500-1500km distances.
Some studies assume that at least 5% of car traffic can be replaced with a better night
train service. Five Percent of the 11.5% share of cars in the EU total greenhouse gas
emissions could add
another 0.58%
reduction potential
16
The GHG Reduction Potential of Night Trains | 09/2022
Back-on-Track.eu
European network to promote
cross-border night trains
 KEF, Alm.del - 2021-22 - Bilag 491: Henvendelse af 15/9-22 fra Rådet for Bæredygtig Trafik om en ny analyse: 'Nattog kan bidrage overraskende meget til at løse transportens europæiske klimabelastning'
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#3percentOverNight
Thank you.
And let’s share the good news!
Back-on-Track.eu
European network to promote
cross-border night trains