Klima-, Energi- og Forsyningsudvalget 2020-21
KEF Alm.del Bilag 54
Offentligt
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Fueling the future of sustainable
transport in Denmark
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Driven by our purpose
dedicated
professionals
committed to
our purpose
WE ARE
4,400
3RD MOST
SUSTAINABLE
COMPANY
We have been
selected as the
world’s
comparable
operating profit of
which
82%* came from our
renewables
WE REACHED
1,962 M€*
*Figures at the end of year 2019.
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Our strategic priorities
Our climate targets
1. To help reduce
our customers’
greenhouse gas
emissions by at least
20 million tons
annually by 2030
2. To reduce
the carbon footprint
of our own
production ahead of
EU’s climate and
energy targets
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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RENEWABLE ROAD
TRANSPORTATION
In 2019, Neste’s renewable products helped
customers to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by a
total of 9.6 million tonnes or the removal of 3.5
million passenger cars from the roads for a full year
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Growing trend in global road transportation towards 2030
+10%
Road
transportation
fuel demand
+140M
EVs
Still less than
10% of all
passenger cars
840
Mton
Heavy-duty
transportation
diesel demand +15%
+1
billion
ton CO
2
Road use ~80%
of transportation
emissions
Note: all figures compared to 2018
Sources: WoodMackenzie, OECD, IEA, EIA
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Global renewable diesel demand
is expected to exceed 20 Mton by 2030
Estimated demand, Mton/a
2020
2022
2030
NORDICS
5
2
REST OF EUROPE
NORTH AMERICA
5-8
Potential
upside in Asia
and South
America
9-12
3
3
6
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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In the mid-term the RD supply exceeds the demand
Additional 7 Mt
capacity
announced in the
past 6 months
Source: RD supply forecast based on projects currently announced – a number of projects still subject to final investment decision
Demand forecast based on Neste analysis of existing and proposed regulation
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Our solution:
Neste Renewable Diesel
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Neste Renewable Diesel in 3 points
It is a biofuel that
can help to reduce
greenhouse gas
emissions by up to
90 % compared to
fossil diesel…
… usable as such in
any diesel engine or
any existing
infrastructure or
equipment…
…with the highest
diesel quality that
can lower local
emissions compared
to fossil diesel
(particulates, NOx,
CO…).
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Concawe: a low-carbon fuels scenario in EU provides the
same CO2 reduction as a high EV scenario...
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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… but at half cost to society.
600 Billion €
324 Billion €
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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High ambition level to reduce emissions
in the Nordics
NORDICS
Mandate obligations
Norway
Sweden
Finland
1
2
3
2020
20%
21%
20%
2030
40%
*Ambition
*Ambition
65.7%
30%
REST OF EUROPE
2020 Mandate
France
Italy
3,4
3
3,4
2030 Ambition
15%
22%
1.4 Mton
28%
14%
8%
9%
16.4%
8.5%
Netherlands
Spain
3,4
4
EU RED II
1) Volumetric mandate. 2) GHG reduction mandate for diesel. 3) Energy content
based mandate. 4) 2030 ambition for renewables share for road and rail
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Progressive climate targets make way for
biofuels in Sweden
Renewable diesel demand is set to grow above 3 Mt by 2030.
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Finnish liquid biofuels mandate for on-road 2021-2030
(This is law! – adopted by the Finnish parliament on 6 Feb 2019)
No double counting
Double counting for
biofuels from
feedstock in Annex IX
22,5 %
25,5 %
20 %
15 %
18 %
19,5 %
27 %
28,5 %
30 %
30 %
21 %
%
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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RENEWABLE AVIATION
We have moved from feasibility to execution.
Capacity of sustainable aviation fuel has been
ramped up to 100,000 tons
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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SAF is an available, easy to use means for
Aviation to reduce GHG emissions
Made from renewable raw materials
Quality & performance comparable to fossil jet
Burns clean, less particle emissions
Commercially available and in use
Drop-in solution with existing
infrastructure/aircraft
Produced in Europe & US
more capacity
under construction & planned
7 approved production pathways & more to
come
reduces GHG
emissions up to
Over the lifecycle,
Neste MY
Renewable Jet
Fuel in neat form
80%
compared to
fossil fuels
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Neste’s SAF is in use on a commercial basis
around the world
SWEDEN & NORWAY
SAN FRANCISCO
Alaska Airlines
American Airlines
JetBlue
Signature
SAS
Lufthansa
KLM
Others
NETHERLANDS
KLM
FINLAND
Finnair
UK
Signature
GERMANY
Lufthansa
Airbus
FRANCE
EBACE
OEMs
Airbus
SWITZERLAND
World Economic Forum,
Zurich Airport
(with Jet Aviation)
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Regulatory changes starting to happen -
creating sustainable fuel demand
AVIATION SPECIFIC BLENDING OBLIGATIONS:
Provide demand certainty
Not cannibalizing road side market
OPT-IN INCENTIVE SCHEMES:
Enable fast scale up of SAF demand
Mandate introduced in 2020
Plans to introduce a mandate in the future (2021-2025) &
Aviation opt-in for road transport mandates in place
Plans to introduce a mandate in the future (2021-2025) &
Opt-in schemes to be implemented from 2021 onwards
(e.g. EU RED II)
Aviation opt-in for road transport mandates in place
Opt-in schemes to be implemented from 2021 onwards
(e.g. EU RED II and Canada Clean Fuel Standard)
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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SAF scale up will proceed in cumulative waves,
as new production pathways are commercialised
3
Potential exceeds
global jet fuel use
Technical potential
“unlimited”
2
1
Up to 10% of global
jet fuel use (35 Mton)
POWER-TO-LIQUIDS
(CO
2
capture)
TECHNOLOGIES CLOSE TO
COMMERCIALIZATION
(municipal solid waste, lignocellulosic,
etc.)
HEFA
1
SCALE-UP
(waste and residue oils
and fats as raw materials)
Source: Neste estimates
1
HEFA = Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Renewable
raw materials
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Increasing volumes and
share of waste and residues
>80%
WASTE AND RESIDUES
<20%
VARIOUS VEGETABLE OILS
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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We are set to become a global leader in renewable and
circular solutions with a strong focus on innovation
CARBON SOURCES
Recycled
waste
plastic
Ligno-
cellulosics
Municipal
solid
waste
Fatty acids
(NEXBTL)
Algae
Power-to-X
Now
3‒5 years
5‒10 years
RENEWABLE AND RECYCLED HYDROCARBONS
> 10 years
ROAD
Road
TRANSPORTATION
transportation
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Aviation
Polymers and
chemicals
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Power-to-X
In March 2020 Neste acquired
a minority stake in the
German cleantech company
Sunfire GmbH,
a leading
developer of Power-to-X
solutions.
The key technology in the
Power-to-X platform is
electrolysis. It enables the
production of emission-free
renewable hydrogen and
conversion of CO2 into fuels,
chemicals and materials.
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Neste is ready to help Denmark achieve its ambitious
climate targets in the transport sector
Today our renewable solutions are produced at refineries in Porvoo, Rotterdam, and Singapore.
Neste is increasing its renewable products production capacity in Singapore. The EUR 1.4 billion investment
will increase Neste’s renewable products production capacity by 1.3 million ton/a, bringing the
total global
renewable product capacity close to 4.5 million ton/a in 2022.
The extended refinery is expected to
start operations in early 2023, and further production expansion projects are under review, notably at
Rotterdam.
Neste is also setting up supply chains across in order to bring
renewable products to several European
markets and airports.
In addition to Neste, other companies are also entering the market or ramping up
their production.
Denmark is well positioned to take a leading role in decarbonizing the transport sector. Global renewable
diesel supply is set to grow and Neste is ready to serve the Danish market.
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KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Our promise:
We will help our
customers reduce their
greenhouse gas emissions
by at least 20 million tons
every year by 2030.
Our promise:
Our own production will be
Carbon neutral by 2035.
KEF, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 54: Henvendelse af 3/11-20 fra Neste om avancerede biobrændsler ifm. foretræde for udvalget
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Thank you!