Beskæftigelsesudvalget 2020-21
BEU Alm.del Bilag 179
Offentligt
Deployment experiences and mental health problems as predictors of post-deployment
unemployment length: A prospective, register-based study among Danish soldiers
Andreas F. Elrond AF
1,2
, Paul M. Conway
2
, Søren B. Andersen
1
, Karen-Inge Karstoft
1,2
, Mia S. Vedtofte
1
,
Jacob Pedersen
3
.
1
Research and Knowledge Centre, The Danish Veteran Centre,
Garnisonen 1, 4100 Ringsted, Denmark
Department of Psychology, University of Copenhagen,
Øster Farimagsgade 2A, 1353 Copenhagen K, Denmark
National Research Centre for the Working Environment,
Lersø Parkallé 105, 2100 Copenhagen Ø, Denmark
2
3
Correspondence to:
Andreas Friis Elrond
Research and Knowledge Centre
The Danish Veteran Centre
Garnisonen 1, 4100 Ringsted, Denmark
E-mail: [email protected]
Word count:
2998
Tables and figures:
2 tables and 1 figure.
Running head:
Deployment-related predictors of unemployment length
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
Abstract
Objectives: Military deployment experiences and post-deployment posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD)
and depression may affect formerly deployed soldiers’ (FDS) probability of gaining employment after
leaving the military. However, previous studies have provided mixed evidence on these relationships. This
study tested questionnaire responses on deployment experiences in combination with screening levels of
PTSD and depression approximately 6 months after homecoming as predictors of subsequent probability of
gaining employment when unemployed from 6 months to 5 years post-deployment.
Methods: FDS responders (n = 3,935) and non-responders
(n
= 3,046) to a 6-month post-deployment
screening questionnaire after returning from a first ever deployment to Kosovo, Iraq, or Afghanistan (2002
– 2012) were included in the study. Three Cox regression models including (1a) deployment experiences,
(1b) PTSD and depressive symptoms, (2) deployment experiences, PTSD and depressive symptoms for FDS
responders, and a fourth model on for all FDS (3) with indication on whether they responded to the
questionnaire were used to assess time-to-event transitioning from unemployment to employment from 6
months to 5 years post-deployment. All models were controlled for age group and region of residence and
were stratified for education and the underlying time period.
Results: Deployment experiences, PTSD and depressive symptoms were not significant predictors of
transitioning from unemployment to employment in any of the tested models. A tendency among non-
respondents to have a lower probability of transitioning from unemployment to employment was found
(HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.81 – 1.00).
Conclusion: Deployment experiences, PTSD and depressive symptoms, as measured at a 6-month follow-
up, did not predict differences in the probability of gaining employment when unemployed within 5 years
post-deployment. However, the findings suggest that those with the least probability of transitioning from
unemployment to employment can be found among the non-responders to the post-deployment screening
questionnaire.
Keywords
Military; Veterans; Post-deployment; Functioning; Employment: Unemployment; Cohort studies
Strengths and limitations of this study
This study accounted for previous methodological limitations in the field by using a registry-based
outcome to assess the exact time in unemployment before gaining employment, while using
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
validated scales from a systematically deployed screening questionnaire to account for deployment
experiences, and PTSD and depressive symptoms.
The use of registries allowed for the relation between non-response to the screening questionnaire
and the chance of gaining employment when unemployed to be tested separately.
The setup, however, did not allow to control for the effects of mental health treatment based on
the results of the screening questionnaire, or for incorporating information on the reason for
soldiers to separate from the defence before the unemployment.
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
INTRODUCTION
Formerly deployed soldiers´ (FDS) ability to gain employment after leaving the armed forces remain an area
of interest and concern. Identification of factors predictive of employment problems may provide the
possibility of identifying and targeting FDS in need of aid to secure a foothold in the labour market. Studies
have suggested posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) [1–5] and depression [4,6–10], independently and in
combination [9,11], to be related to higher levels of post-deployment unemployment and non-employment
in soldier populations, and to have an effect on the ability of FDS to work and function to their full
capabilities [2,12–15]. However, several other studies have found PTSD [6–8,11,13,14] and depression
[8,11,13,14] to have no or a limited relationship to subsequent unemployment for FDS. Depletion in
functioning [14] and lack of trust in one’s ability to gain employment [2,10] rather than a complete inability
to work have been suggested as the consequence of PTSD and depression. This may affect those who are
unemployed and looking for employment. Research into the effects of deployment on unemployment,
independent and beyond the effects of PTSD and depression, remains limited, with studies both supporting
[13,16,17] and not supporting [8,18] a relationship. However, no study has previously examined the effects
of deployment experiences and PTSD or depressive symptoms as predictors of transitioning from
unemployment to employment in FDS.
Previous research presents a series of methodological issues that limits conclusions about FDS’ ability to
gain employment. Differences in results across employment studies may among other factors be attributed
to considerable variation in duration and timing of post-deployment symptom assessments [19]. Moreover,
the timing of the employment outcomes (ranging from days to years [16,20]), as well as disparity of the
underlying periods [16,20] may affect the results. The widespread use of cross-sectional data or data from
treatment- and help-seeking veteran populations further limits the possibility of drawing conclusions about
causal relationships between deployment experiences, mental health problems and post-deployment
employment [21,22]. Non-response to predominantly voluntary screening programs is high [23], and has
been related to poorer mental health outcomes [24,25]. Finally, the use of a single-point follow-up, which
only allows for dichotomous outcome categories (e.g., unemployed vs. employed), does not allow for the
study of FDS’ transitions in the labour market.
Against this background, the primary aim of this study was to investigate deployment experiences as well
as PTSD and depressive symptoms at screening as predictors of gaining employment when unemployed,
from 6 months to 5 years after the first-ever military deployment. To this end, we used a systematically
distributed screening questionnaire and national register data on employment status. Given a non-
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
response rate of 43% of the identified population, a secondary aim was to investigate non-response to the
questionnaire as a predictor of gaining employment when unemployed.
METHOD
Data
We used the deployment database of the Danish Veteran Centre [26] to identify period and country of
deployment as well as previous deployments. From the Danish Veteran Centre, we obtained data from self-
report questionnaires on Psychological Reactions following International Missions (PRIM). PRIM has been
routinely distributed by personal mail since 1998 to Danish FDS approximately 6 months after homecoming
to assess deployment experiences and post-deployment reactions in order to identify those in need of
support by military psychologists. PRIM consists of 125 individual items covering deployment experiences,
post-deployment reactions and post-deployment support, as well as five validated scales, here amongst
PTSD- and depressions symptoms as well as deployment experiences (see “Predictors” below for included
items and scales). The questionnaire has an average response rate of 60% across all deployments [27]. Data
on labour market transitions came from the Danish Register for Evaluation of Marginalization (DREAM),
which contains weekly records of social benefit payments for all Danes since 1991 [28]. All data was hosted
by Statistics Denmark and linked via a unique personal identification number, and the analyses were
conducted on de-identified records on Statistics Denmark’s servers. Due to the low rates of missing data we
excluded subjects if they had missing data on any of the selected measures.
Population and procedure
We included FDS who had a single deployment to Kosovo, Iraq or Afghanistan from 2002–2012 (see Figure
1 for attrition). Of 10,974 FDS deployed to one of these countries and during the period of interest, 2550
were excluded due to having previous deployments, and 633 for being deployed again before the follow-up
period 6 months after the first homecoming. This was done to exclude potential effects of previous or
subsequent deployment experiences. In addition, 3348 (43.0%) did not have a corresponding PRIM record,
while the correct record could not be identified in 18 cases. In the study period the Danish defence used
temporary contracts or permanent contracts that terminate at 36 (or 60) years of age. The contract
terminating at age 36 includes the possibility for subsequently taking civilian education for a period while
still getting wage by the defence. To avoid possible systematic bias at 36 years of age, we further excluded
275 FDS that were age 36 or older at the start of follow-up or that were otherwise censored (e.g.,
deceased). Finally, 215 FDS were excluded for having missing data on the PRIM questionnaire used in the
study. This resulted in a final sample of 3935 for the primary analysis. The secondary analysis included 3046
non-responders of PRIM who otherwise met the follow-up criteria just specified.
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
(Figure 1 here)
Patient and Public involvement
No patients involved. As the study was conducted on de-identified data, the FDS included in this study were
not directly involved in shaping the research question, methods or dissemination. The results will be
disseminated through the Danish Veteran Centre, which is a public institution formed to support and
inform work with the population.
Measures
Unemployment periods and employment
Unemployment periods were identified based on information on weekly payments of unemployment
benefits from the DREAM register. We identified periods of employment as periods without any social
payments. We included all periods of unemployment into the study and counted all unemployment periods
immediately succeeded by an employment period as a transition/event. Periods of other social payments
like sickness absence, education benefits were censored.
Predictors
From the PRIM questionnaire, we included the PRIM-PTSD scale in which scores range from 12–48 and the
cut-off score of 24.5 is used to screen for possible PTSD (No-PTSD/Possible PTSD). The PRIM-PTSD and the
cut-off score have previously been validated [27]. We also included the 8-item PRIM Depression scale
(PRIM-DEP8), which has been validated and shown to be reliable across cohorts [29]. Scores range from 0–8
and a previously established cut-off score of 6 is used to screen for depression [30]. From PRIM we also
included the Rasch validated Exposure to Danger and Combat Scale (EDCS) and the Witnessing
Consequences of War Scale (WCWS) to account for exposure to adverse deployment experiences. EDCS
scores range from 6–24 and WCWS scores range from 4–16 [31], with higher scores indicating a more
dangerous environment. Finally, for the secondary analysis, we included a binary variable indicating
response or non-response to the PRIM questionnaire.
From the registers, we included information on gender and time-dependent information on age group (18–
24, 25–35), highest achieved education (short/preparatory and longer/vocational). Finally, we included
information on habitation in the five geographical regions of Denmark to account for any regional
differences in the chance of gaining employment (e.g. between the Capital region and other less dense
regions).
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
Statistical analyses
Initial analyses tested the differences in the probability of having a period of unemployment, in relation to
PTSD and depression symptoms, using chi-squared test (ꭓ
2
). The prospective association of deployment
experiences and mental health problems assessed in PRIM, and response to PRIM with subsequent
unemployment-employment transitions was examined with a four-step Cox regression model [32,33].
We modelled the probability of transitioning from unemployment to employment with the timeline being
the days from 6 months to 5 years post-deployment, and the possibility of late entry (i.e. entering the
model later than at 6 months exactly). FDS were allowed to have multiple and recurrent unemployment
periods and individual variance was accounted for by including a frailty model [32,34]. Soldiers were right-
censored if they redeployed, received a disability pension, died or had turned 36 years of age and thus
could have their contract terminated. FDS were treated as being temporarily censored from the model,
with the possibility of re-entering, when they were not receiving unemployment benefits or if they had
emigrated. We adjusted for changes in employment rates, by dividing the follow-up period into the four
time-periods: 2002–2005, 2006–2009, 2010–2013, and 2014–2017, in which the employment rates were
fairly stable. We stratified the Cox-regression by each period, which allowed for separate baseline hazards
in each time-period.
Model 1a included the war exposure scales EDCS and WCWS. Model 1b included the variables assessing
possible PTSD and depression at the 6-month follow-up. As the questionnaire measures was given only
once to each individual, it was not possible to model a possible mediating relationship between
experiences, mental health problems and the probability of employment; however, model 2 included all
variables of model 1a and 1b to test if experiences had a unique effect on unemployment length after
mental health was factored in. Finally, a second analysis was conducted including the large proportion of
individuals that did not have a PRIM response, and the follow-up response model 3 included an indicator of
response or non-response to test the effect of not responding to the PRIM. All models were adjusted for
gender, age group and region of habitation, and were further stratified by periods of similar employment
rates and education level. The proportional hazard assumption of the predictors in the four models was
evaluated and found acceptable by the use of scaled Schoenfeld residuals through the survival package in R
[36]. Education level was included as a second stratifying variable as it did not meet the proportional hazard
assumption.
A supplementary analysis introduced PTSD and depressive symptoms, which are known to correlate [37],
separately into the models. Further, we conducted a supplementary analysis of the interaction of PTSD and
depressive symptoms that has previously been found elsewhere [11]. Finally, as lower symptomatology has
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
2336450_0009.png
been previously shown to have weaker association with employment problems [2,15], we also tested the
models using stricter established cut-offs corresponding to a probable PTSD and depression diagnosis (29.5
and seven respectively) [27,29,30] as a sensitivity analysis.
All analyses were performed using base R (version 3.5.1) and the R Survival package (version 2.43.1) [36].
RESULTS
Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics of the FDS population at the beginning of the follow-up period.
Most of the first-ever deployments were to Kosovo and fewest were to Iraq, with Afghanistan being in
between. The majority of FDS were male, and at the beginning of follow-up, the majority were between 18
and 24 years old and had a preparatory or low level of education. Further, 9.9% met the screening criteria
for PTSD, and 8.7% the screening criteria for depression.
Table 1.
FDS population characteristics at the start of follow-up time (6 months after homecoming)
Characteristics
Military deployment
Afghanistan
Iraq
Kosovo
Gender
Female
Age group
18–24
25–35
Education*
Low level
High level
Period
2002–2005
2006–2009
2010–2013
2014–2017
Region of residence
n
1193
922
1820
n
251
n
3082
853
n
2902
1020
n
1045
1929
961
-
n
Responders
(n = 3935)
%
30.3
23.4
46.3
%
6.4
%
78.3
21.7
%
74.0
26.0
%
26.6
49.0
24.4
-
%
607
1387
1052
-
2250
771
2308
738
114
n
1323
516
1207
Non-responders
(n = 3046)
%
43.4
17.0
39.6
%
3.7
%
75.8
24.2
%
74.5
25.5
%
19.9
45.5
34.5
-
%
0.007
<0.001
0.667
0.013
<0.001
χ2 test,
p value
<0.001
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
2336450_0010.png
Capital region
Region Sealand
Region northern Jutland
Region mid Jutland
Region South
Deployment experiences (scales)
EDCS
WCWS
PTSD screening
No PTSD
Screening level PTSD
Depression screening
No depression
Screening level depression
870
528
610
1012
915
n
3935
3935
N
3544
391
n
3591
344
22.1
13.4
15.5
25.7
23.3
Mean (SD)
2.7 (1.9)
3.9 (3.4)
%
90.1
9.9
%
91.3
8.7
717
441
483
667
738
23.5
14.5
15.9
21.9
24.2
EDCS = Exposure to Danger and Combat Scale; SD = standard deviation; WCWS = Witnessing Consequences
of War Scale. *No information on education at beginning of follow-up for 13 FDS.
Of the 3935 FDS included, 947 (24.1%) had at least one unemployment period, and of these, 824 (86.9%)
FDS were reemployed within the follow-up period. The proportion having an unemployment period was
significantly higher for the group that screened positive for PTSD (34.5%) than for the group that did not
(22.9%) (ꭓ2 (1) = 25.22, P < .001). Similar results were found for those who screened positive for depression
(33.1%) compared with those who did not (23.2%) (ꭓ2 (1) = 16.32, P < .001).
The results of the four Cox regression models can be seen in Table 2. Deployment experiences included in
model 1a were not predictive of obtaining employment when unemployed. The mental health predictors in
model 1b yielded similar results, as none of these variables predicted transition into employment. As a
result of this, none of the variables were significant predictors when included in the adjusted model 2. The
final model 3 testing non-response as a predictor, found that non-responers bordered on a significantly
lower probability of gaining employment (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.81 – 1.00). In this model higher age was
related with a significantly lower chance of gaining employment (HR = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.78 – 0.98).
The supplementary analyses, introducing PTSD and depressive symptoms separately into the model, testing
their interaction and using stricter established cut-offs, did not change the non-significant finding (results
not shown).
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
2336450_0011.png
Table 2.
Cox regression models of Hazard Ratios for transitioning from unemployment to employment
Transitioning from Unemployment
to Employment
a
Model 1a
Deployment experiences
HR
95% CI
Model 1b
Mental health
HR
95% CI
Model 2
Combined
HR
95% CI
Model 3
Follow-up Response
HR
95% CI
Deployment experiences (scales)
EDCS
1.00
(0.97 – 1.03)
1.00
(0.97 – 1.03)
WCWS
1.01
(0.96 – 1.06)
1.01
(0.96 – 1.06)
PTSD screening
No PTSD
1.00
1.00
Screening level PTSD
1.06
(0.84 – 1.33)
1.06
(0.84 – 1.34)
Depression screening
No depression
1.00
1.00
Screening level depression
0.82
(0.64 – 1.06)
0.82
(0.64 – 1.06)
Gender
Male
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Female
(0.76 – 1.32)
1.02
(0.77 – 1.35)
1.02
(0.77 – 1.36)
1.05
(0.82 – 1.33)
1.00
Age group
18–24
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
25–35
0.93
(0.79 – 1.09)
0.99
(0.79 – 1.09)
0.93
(0.79 – 1.09)
0.87
(0.78 – 0.98)
Region of residence
Capital region
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Sealand
0.84
(0.67 – 1.05)
0.85
(0.68 – 1.06)
0.85
(0.68 – 1.06)
0.93
(0.79 – 1.10)
Northern Jutland
0.92
(0.75 – 1.14)
0.92
(0.75 – 1.14)
0.92
(0.75 – 1.14)
(0.83 – 1.15)
0.98
Mid Jutland
0.93
(0.76 – 1.12)
0.92
(0.76 – 1.11)
0.92
(0.76 – 1.11)
1.03
(0.89 – 1.20)
South
0.98
(0.81 – 1.19)
0.98
(0.81 – 1.19)
0.98
(0.81 – 1.19)
(0.86 – 1.15)
1.00
PRIM response
Responder
1.00
Non-responder
(0.81 – 1.00)
0.90
CI = confidence interval; EDCS = Exposure to Danger and Combat Scale; HR = hazard ratio; PTSD = posttraumatic stress disorder; WCWS = Witnessing
Consequences of War Scale; PRIM = Psychological Reactions following International Missions (questionnaire).
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
a
All models are stratified by highest achieved education and time period (era).
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
DISCUSSION
This study assessed experiences during military deployment and screening levels of PTSD and depression as
predictors of differences in the probability of transitioning from unemployment to employment among FDS
under the age of 36 who had experienced one deployment only. The descriptive analyses suggested that
FDS with screening levels of PTSD or depression had a higher probability of experiencing at least one
unemployment period during follow-up. However, no significant associations were found between
experiences during military deployment and screening levels of PTSD and depression, and the probability of
becoming employed in the period considered in any of the models. The secondary analysis that tested
response to the follow-up questionnaire at approximately 6 months found that non-response bordered on
having a relationship with a lower chance of gaining employment. Higher age was in this analysis
significantly related with a lowered risk of gaining employment. These results did take into account the
periodic changes in the underlying chance of gaining employment throughout the timespan (2002–2017)
e.g. during the financial crisis. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to use exact register-
based outcome periods to evaluate the effect of deployment experiences and mental health problems on
subsequent labour market transitioning outside of a treatment-seeking population.
Strengths and limitations
The present study has several methodological strengths, which advance methodological limitations of
previous research. In particular, this study was based on bias-free outcomes assessed in register data
including the exact periods of unemployment before transitioning to employment as well as background
characteristics. The objective nature of the outcome enabling us to keep track of individual employment
data on a week-to-week basis, counteracts problems with recall bias or bias relating to differences in risk as
result of differences in follow-up time. Second, the systematic distribution of follow-up questionnaires
across multiple years and missions allowed for inferences to be based on a population with diverse
deployments. Further, the main predictors were measured through validated scales on deployment
experiences, PTSD and depression. However, several limitations must be addressed. First, in the context of
the DREAM data used, employment is characterized by not receiving any public payments and thus being
self-supporting. While this is an accepted method [33], it does not rule out misclassification of the few
persons who become self-supporting without having actual income from employment. Second, the PRIM
questionnaire is typically filled in within 6–8 months after homecoming. However, we did not have the
exact dates the soldiers filled out the PRIM, and consequently all dates were set to 6 months, which is the
approximate time the PRIM questionnaire was first distributed to the FDS. Third, the non-significant
findings in our study may relate to the effects of treatment that is offered by military psychologists based
on the results of the PRIM questionnaire, as well as the help from social workers of the Danish Defence
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
Veteran Centre, as this select treatment and social help may aid soldiers in gaining employment. This limits
conclusions about the effects of mental health problems independent of treatment. Fourth, we did not
know the reason for departure from the military. Previous studies have found higher levels of attrition from
the military soldiers with mental health problems [38], and a relationship between different reasons for
separation and odds of unemployment [8]. However, our study could not account for any effect of
differences in the reason for separation. Fifth, while the use of self-reported mental health problems is the
general norm within this area of research, the potential underreporting of disability when using self-reports
as compared to more objective measures [39] may lower the contrast between those who responded to
the PRIM. Finally, the setup including the lack of information on the type of work and the FDS’s desire and
satisfaction with the type of employment does not allow us to judge the permanency of the positions
gained when transitioning from unemployment.
Comparison with previous studies
The findings of this study regarding PTSD and depressive symptoms are in agreement with previous cross-
sectional [6,7,11,13] and prospective studies [8,14] conducted outside of treatment-seeking populations,
which did not find PTSD, depression or deployment experiences to predict employment outcomes.
Specifically, our results show that there are no overall differences among FDS in the probability of gaining
employment when unemployed, based on PTSD and depression status as well as deployment experiences.
Still, other cross-sectional studies [2,5–7,9,10] and prospective studies [4] have found such mental health
problems to relate to employment outcomes. Further, our findings on deployment experiences extends
previous findings [13,16,18] on the relationship between combat and unemployment by showing that the
level of exposure to possibly traumatic deployment events was not predictive of the probability of gaining
employment. The differences between our null findings and the positive findings in other studies need to
be addressed. While this study extends previous findings by studying differences in the dynamic transitions
between employment and unemployment, it does not account for the opposite transitions (from
employment to unemployment). Based on this setup we therefore cannot rule out that PTSD and
depression status as well as deployment experiences are predictors of an increased risk of being
unemployed at single time points (e.g. at 1 year post-deployment), as previous studies suggest. Still, the
differences may also pertain to methodological differences. We find that a primary problem in the
literature is the use of cross-sectional data: since unemployment may affect mental health negatively
[9,21,22], cross-sectional studies may inflate the relationship. Second, the use of outcomes sampled at a
single time point allows for differences to coincidentally relate to the timing of assessment more than to
the general risk of unemployment. Third, the differences found between our post 9/11 sample and samples
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
from other periods may relate to the era of deployment, as several studies have documented major
differences in how military service in different periods affect labour market attachment [1,16,40–42].
The non-existing relationship between mental health and unemployment has also been found in several
treatment-seeking samples [3,5,6,9,10,12], where one would expect the contrasts between mental health
status to be smaller. The difference between these results and our findings may be explained by the
systematic non-response on our screening questionnaires. Thus, the use of registries allowed us to test the
effect of non-response by including 3046 soldiers who did not have a corresponding PRIM follow-up. This
finding suggests that non-responders may have a lower probability than responders to transition from
unemployment to employment. Still these veterans may be among those seeking help and such an effect
could add to a larger contrast in the help-seeking samples. Across response patterns, however, previous
results on the present sample have suggested that FDS overall have a greater chance of gaining
employment when unemployed than comparable non-FDS in the 5 years after homecoming [17].
Future directions
Our results indicate that a systematic screening of deployment experiences, PTSD and depression
symptoms 6 months after deployment, may be not useful to predict the ability to get employment among
unemployed FDS. Further studies are, however, needed to determine if these factors predict transitioning
from employment to unemployment. Future studies investigating predictors of labour market outcomes in
the general population of (non-treatment seeking) FDS should also seek to account for treatment and help
received by the veterans in the time until measurement of employment to account for treatment effects on
employability. Also, while complicated, studies should seek to account for the effects of multiple
deployments. Further, our findings of a possible lowered probability of gaining employment among non-
responders may question the ability of voluntary screenings to account for all of those in need of
employment-related aid after military deployments. These results are also of clinical importance and may
call for an increased early focus on veterans who may be in need of help, but do not respond to distributed
screenings. Finally, while our study did not find PTSD and depression to be significant predictors, the
resulting coefficients do suggest a stronger effect of depression than PTSD on remaining unemployed,
which is consistent with the literature [8], and which may raise awareness to possible differences in the
effects of these mental health problems.
Conclusion
This study investigated deployment experiences and screening levels of post-deployment posttraumatic
stress disorder and depression as predictors of the probability of gaining employment when unemployed in
Danish formerly deployed soldiers with a single deployment behind them. We did not find such factors to
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
be significant predictors of gaining employment in the time from 6 months to 5 years after homecoming.
Nevertheless, increased awareness of and attention to veterans who do not respond to systematically
distributed screenings may be needed, as it may be among them where we will find those most vulnerable,
and with the lowest probability of gaining new employment if they become unemployed.
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
Acknowledgements
This study was supported by the Research and Knowledge Centre, The Danish Veteran Centre. The Centre
had no formal role in designing, analysing, interpreting, and writing of the manuscript or on the decision to
submit the paper.
Competing interest
The authors have no competing interest to declare.
Ethical considerations
This study followed the procedures of the Danish Data Protection Agency regarding notification of research
projects containing personal data. Subjects answering the PRIM was informed about the use of data
according to the regulations at the time of response, while the access to conducting research on the
anonymized register data was provided under the regulations of Statistics Denmark. All work on data was
conducted on de-identified data via the servers of Statistics Denmark. No ethics committee approval was
required, as the study was a secondary analysis of previously collected data combined with register data
available for the research purpose.
Author’s contribution
Andreas Friis Elrond: Contributed to the design of the study; Data setup; Analyses; Writing of the paper
Paul Maurice Conway: Contributed to the design of the study; Writing of the paper
Søren Bo Andersen: Contributed to the design of the study; Writing of the paper
Karen-Inge Karstoft: Contributed to the design of the study; Writing of the paper
Mia Sadowa Vedtofte: Contributed to the design of the study; Writing of the paper
Jacob Pedersen: Contributed to the design of the study; Data setup; Analyses; Writing of the paper
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
References
1
2
Iversen A. What happens to British veterans when they leave the armed forces?
The European Journal
of Public Health
2005;15:175–84. doi:10.1093/eurpub/cki128
Pietrzak RH, Goldstein MB, Malley JC,
et al.
Subsyndromal posttraumatic stress disorder is associated
with health and psychosocial difficulties in veterans of Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi
Freedom.
Depress Anxiety
2009;26:739–44. doi:10.1002/da.20574
Resnick SG, Rosenheck RA. Posttraumatic stress disorder and employment in veterans participating in
Veterans Health Administration Compensated Work Therapy.
The Journal of Rehabilitation Research
and Development
2008;45:427–36. doi:10.1682/JRRD.2007.06.0093
Savoca E, Rosenheck R. The civilian labor market experiences of Vietnam-era veterans: the influence of
psychiatric disorders.
The Journal of Mental Health Policy and Economics
2000;3:199–207.
doi:10.1002/mhp.102
Smith MW, Schnurr PP, Rosenheck RA. Employment Outcomes and PTSD Symptom Severity.
Mental
Health Services Research
2005;7:89–101. doi:10.1007/s11020-005-3780-2
Cohen SI, Suri P, Amick MM,
et al.
Clinical and demographic factors associated with employment status
in US military veterans returning from Iraq and Afghanistan.
Work
2013;44:213–219.
Hamilton AB, Williams L, Washington DL. Military and Mental Health Correlates of Unemployment in a
National Sample of Women Veterans:
Medical Care
2015;53:S32–8.
doi:10.1097/MLR.0000000000000297
Horton JL, Jacobson IG, Wong CA,
et al.
The impact of prior deployment experience on civilian
employment after military service.
Occup Environ Med
2013;70:408–17. doi:10.1136/oemed-2012-
101073
Zivin K, Campbell DG, Lanto AB,
et al.
Relationships between mood and employment over time among
depressed VA primary care patients.
General Hospital Psychiatry
2012;34:468–77.
doi:10.1016/j.genhosppsych.2012.05.008
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 Zivin K, Yosef M, Levine DS,
et al.
Employment status, employment functioning, and barriers to
employment among VA primary care patients.
Journal of Affective Disorders
2016;193:194–202.
doi:10.1016/j.jad.2015.12.054
11 Amick MM, Meterko M, Fortier CB,
et al.
The Deployment Trauma Phenotype and Employment Status
in Veterans of the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The Journal of Head Trauma Rehabilitation
2018;33:E30. doi:10.1097/HTR.0000000000000308
12 Adler DA, Possemato K, Mavandadi S,
et al.
Psychiatric status and work performance of veterans of
Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi Freedom.
Psychiatric services
2011;62:39–46.
13 Burnett-Zeigler I, Valenstein M, Ilgen M,
et al.
Civilian employment among recently returning
Afghanistan and Iraq National Guard veterans.
Military medicine
2011;176:639–646.
14 Erbes CR, Kaler ME, Schult T,
et al.
Mental health diagnosis and occupational functioning in National
Guard/Reserve veterans returning from Iraq.
Journal of Rehabilitation Research & Development
2011;48:1159–70. doi:10.1682/JRRD.2010.11.0212
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
15 Karstoft K-I, Armour C, Andersen SB,
et al.
Community integration after deployment to Afghanistan: A
longitudinal investigation of Danish soldiers.
Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology
2015;50:653–60. doi:10.1007/s00127-014-0973-2
16 MacLean A. The Things They Carry: Combat, Disability, and Unemployment among U.S. Men.
American
Sociological Review
2010;75:563–85. doi:10.1177/0003122410374085
17 Elrond A, Stoltenberg C, Nissen L,
et al.
Labor market affiliation after deployment: Danish soldiers fare
well, but face increased risk of long-term sickness absence when returning from Afghanistan.
Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health
2019;45:289–97. doi:10.5271/sjweh.3773
18 Burdett H, Fear NT, MacManus D,
et al.
Unemployment and benefit claims by UK veterans in the new
millennium: results from a record linkage study.
Occup Environ Med
2019;:oemed-2019-105737.
doi:10.1136/oemed-2019-105737
19 Andersen SB, Karstoft KI, Bertelsen M,
et al.
Latent trajectories of trauma symptoms and resilience: the
3-year longitudinal prospective USPER study of Danish veterans deployed in Afghanistan.
J Clin
Psychiatry
2014;75:1001–8. doi:10.4088/JCP.13m08914
20 Humensky JL, Jordan N, Stroupe KT,
et al.
How Are Iraq/Afghanistan-Era Veterans Faring in the Labor
Market?
Armed Forces & Society
2012;:0095327X12449433. doi:10.1177/0095327X12449433
21 Paul KI, Moser K. Unemployment impairs mental health: Meta-analyses.
Journal of Vocational Behavior
2009;74:264–82. doi:10.1016/j.jvb.2009.01.001
22 Wanberg CR. The Individual Experience of Unemployment.
Annual Review of Psychology
2012;63:369–
96. doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-120710-100500
23 Fear NT, Staden LV, Iversen A,
et al.
50 ways to trace your veteran: increasing response rates can be
cheap and effective.
European Journal of Psychotraumatology
2010;1:5516. doi:10.3402/ejpt.v1i0.5516
24 Littman AJ, Boyko EJ, Jacobson IG,
et al.
Assessing nonresponse bias at follow-up in a large prospective
cohort of relatively young and mobile military service members.
BMC Med Res Methodol
2010;10:99.
doi:10.1186/1471-2288-10-99
25 Lyk-Jensen SV, Heidemann J, Glad A,
et al. Returned Danish Soldiers: The soldiers psychological
healthprofile before and after deployment [Danske hjemvendte soldater: soldaternes psykiske
sundhedsprofil før og efter udsendelse].
SFI - Det Nationale Forskningscenter for Velfærd 2012.
26 Nissen LR, Stoltenberg C, Nielsen ABS,
et al.
Danish Gulf War Veterans Revisited: No Evidence of
Increased Sickness Absence or Reduced Labor Market Outcome After Deployment to the Persian Gulf.
Military Medicine
2016;181:e1644–9. doi:10.7205/MILMED-D-15-00534
27 Karstoft K-I, Andersen SB, Nielsen ABS. Assessing PTSD in the military: Validation of a scale distributed
to Danish soldiers after deployment since 1998.
Scand J Psychol
2017;58:260–8.
doi:10.1111/sjop.12360
28 Burr H, Pedersen J, Hansen JV. Work environment as predictor of long-term sickness absence: Linkage
of self-reported DWECS data with the DREAM register.
Scandinavian Journal of Public Health
2011;39:147–52. doi:10.1177/1403494811401480
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
29 Karstoft K-I, Nielsen ABS, Nielsen T. Assessment of depression in veterans across missions: a validity
study using Rasch measurement models.
European Journal of Psychotraumatology
2017;8:1326798.
doi:10.1080/20008198.2017.1326798
30 Nissen LR, Karstoft K-I, Vedtofte MS,
et al.
Low-level cognitive ability in young adulthood and other risk
factors of depression in an observational cohort study among deployed Danish soldiers.
Soc Psychiatry
Psychiatr Epidemiol
Published Online First: 8 January 2019. doi:10.1007/s00127-018-1648-1
31 Karstoft K-I, Nielsen T, Nielsen ABS. Perceived danger during deployment: a Rasch validation of an
instrument assessing perceived combat exposure and the witnessing of combat consequences in a war
zone.
European Journal of Psychotraumatology
2018;9:1487224. doi:10.1080/20008198.2018.1487224
32 Christensen KB, Andersen PK, Smith-Hansen L,
et al.
Analyzing sickness absence with statistical models
for survival data.
Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health
2007;33:233–9.
doi:10.5271/sjweh.1132
33 Pedersen J, Bjorner JB, Burr H,
et al.
Transitions between sickness absence, work, unemployment, and
disability in Denmark 2004–2008.
Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health
2012;:516–26.
doi:10.5271/sjweh.3293
34 Hansen SM, Hetland ML, Pedersen J,
et al.
Effect of Rheumatoid Arthritis on Longterm Sickness
Absence in 1994-2011: A Danish Cohort Study.
The Journal of Rheumatology
2016;43:707–15.
doi:10.3899/jrheum.150801
35 Statistics Denmark. Net unemployed by sex and persons/pct. - StatBank Denmark - data and statistics
(2001-2017). https://www.statistikbanken.dk/statbank5a/SelectVarVal/saveselections.asp (accessed
20 May 2018).
36 Therneau TM.
A Package for Survival Analysis in S.
2015. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=survival
(accessed 12 Feb 2018).
37 Rytwinski NK, Scur MD, Feeny NC,
et al.
The Co-Occurrence of Major Depressive Disorder Among
Individuals With Posttraumatic Stress Disorder: A Meta-Analysis.
Journal of Traumatic Stress
2013;26:299–309. doi:10.1002/jts.21814
38 Hoge CW, Auchterlonie JL, Milliken CS. Mental health problems, use of mental health services, and
attrition from military service after returning from deployment to Iraq or Afghanistan.
JAMA
2006;295:1023–32. doi:10.1001/jama.295.9.1023
39 Griffin J, Stein MA. Self-perception of disability and prospects for employment among U.S. veterans.
Work
2015;50:49–58. doi:10.3233/WOR-141929
40 Angrist JD. Estimating the Labor Market Impact of Voluntary Military Service Using Social Security Data
on Military Applicants.
Econometrica
1998;66:249. doi:10.2307/2998558
41 MacLean A, Elder GH. Military Service in the Life Course.
Annual Review of Sociology
2007;33:175–96.
doi:10.1146/annurev.soc.33.040406.131710
42 Teachman JD, Call VR. The effect of military service on educational, occupational, and income
attainment.
Social Science Research
1996;25:1–31.
BEU, Alm.del - 2020-21 - Bilag 179: Orientering om artikel fra NFA og Veterancenteret om hjemvendte soldaters sandsynlighed for at komme i beskæftigelse, fra beskæftigelsesministeren og forsvarsministeren
Figure Legends
Figure 1.
Fall-out of formerly deployed soldiers until follow-up, responders and non-responders. FDS =
Formerly Deployed Soldiers; PRIM = Psychological Reactions following International Missions
(Questionnaire).