The geopolitical and geostrategic importance of Afrin and why the Turkish
state wants to attack it
Turkey lies to the north and west of Afrin, to the east are Turkish-backed groups and to the south the
Nusra Front (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham).
Oil and food prices in Arin, whose economy relies on olives, olive oil and fruit, have rocketed in
recent times because of the embargo from all sides.
Since 2014, Arabs have been taking their place in the legislative assembly, the Presidential Council of
the assembly, and the Executive Council in the canton’s administration.
A small population of Arabs live in the centre of
Afrin,
with Alevi Kurds in Mabata, and Yazidi Kurds
in Kastel Cindo and Ezaze.
Due to its relative stability, since 2013 Afrin has been a refuge for people who have fled ISIS from
places like
Raqqa, Manbij, al-Bab and Jarablus.
The population of Afrin, which consists of seven
neighbourhoods and 365 villages, has doubled from the original figure of 400,000.
After the defeat of ISIS in
Kobani and Gire-Spi
in 2016 the Turkish state saw that its position had
worsened; especially after it sold out its own gangs to the Syrian regime and Russian forces. To seek
to remedy this the Turkish state redirected its attention towards the Democratic Autonomous
Administration.
The occupying Turkish army has control of some parts of the region of
Shehba.
The primary objective
of the military deployment in the
Azaz-Jarablus
pocket is to surround Afrin by taking what is seen as
the Kurdish corridor between the
Menagh
air base and
Tell Rifaat.
The ambitions of this occupation are two-fold: first the sabotaging of the Raqqa operation, and
second, the protection of ISIS. There is also a desire to hinder the development of the North Syria