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5.juli 2017
Danish Foreign PolicyYearbook 2017
Til Udenrigsudvalget
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4::
DANISI I
FOREIGN POLICY
YEARBOOK
2017
EDITED BY KRISTIAN FISCHER AND HANS MOURITZEN
DIIS DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES
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RETTELSESBLAD
Contents
Preface 5
Chapter l:Articles 7
Abstracts in English and Danish 7
.
7’
D
The
International Situation and Danish foreign Policy in 2016. 11
Anders Sam uetsen, !vlinister for Foreign
Affairs
Denmark in a rapidly changing security environment• 23
Ctaus Hjort Frederiksen,
IVlinister ofDefence
Europe through a crystal ball. 31
Per Stig Møller
Nationalists, National Liberals and Cosmopolitans:
Danish foreign Policy Debates after Brexit and Trump 51
Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen
.
The
Greenland Card: Prospects for and Barriers
to Danish Arctic Diplomacy in Washington 75
Anders Henriksen andJon Rahbek-
C’lemmensen
.
Refugee policy as ‘negative nation branding’:
the case ofDenmark and the Nordics 99
Thomas Gammeltofi—Jiansen
.
Chaptet 2: Selected Documents
127
I 65
Chapter 3: Danish Foreign Policy in Figures
Chaptet 4: Opinion Poils
169
185
Chapter 5: Selected Bibliography
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:.
Preface
-o
m
Danist
foreign
Poticy Yearbook addresses Danish forei
gn policy both region
ally and globally. Apart from the articles by Denmark’s
foreign and defence
ministers, this volume inciudes four academic articles,
whose authors repre
sent only themselves and their expertise (for details
of each author, see the
respective articies)
In his articie, dr. phil. Per Stig 1\1oller argues that Euro
pe is going down
wards in the current demographic cycie. Trade
routes run parallel with
demography, and in the future they will be moving
to the east and south of
Europe. Geostrategically, Europe is experiencing prob
lems with a revanchist
Russia, a highly volatile, possibly Islamist Middle
East, and an Africa from
which there will be significant growth in emigration
to Europe. Not to men
tion that the EU has probtems ofits own.
The election of Donald Trump and Brexit both
constitute radical breaks
for the ways in which Denmark’s action space is
perceived. According to
Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen, the result is three confl
icting views of foreign
policy, held respectively by nationalists, national liber
als and cosmopotitans.
The national liberal perspective currently dorninate
s debates and policy, but
since
it
is finding
it
diflcult to formulate new polic
ies,
it
might have prob
lems in sustaining itselfin the long
The term ‘Greenfand card’ refers to Denmark’s
use of Greenland to
improve its foreign policy position in Washington.
Anders Henriksen and
Jon Rahbek-Clemmensen discuss the barriers that
inhibit Danish Arctic
diplomacy, inciuding too narrow a focus on contrib
uting to American-led
operations in the Middle East, mistrust between
Denmark and Greenfand,
and the taboo that surrounds the Greenland Card
itself.
I
I
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_____
I
I
According to Thomas Gammeltoft-Hansen, the Danish government is
aiming to make asvium and protection conditions in Denmark as unattrac
rive as possible, thereby indirectly pushing asylum-seekers totvards other
countries. Such ‘negative nation branding’ may be an effective strategy in
reducing the numbers of asylum-seekers, but
it
is likely to create negative
externalities by, for instance, making the country vulnerable to similar policy
developments in neighbouring states, thus reducing the deterrent effect over
time.
These articies are abstracted in both English and Danish at the outset of
chapter one. After the articles follows a selection of omcial documents that
are considered to be characteristic of Danish foreign policy during 2016.
This is suppiemented by essential statisrics and by some of the most relevant
polis on the attirudes of the Danes to key foreign policy questions. Finally,
a bibliography provides a limited selection of scholarty books, articies and
chapters published
in
English in 2016 in the field covered by the yearbook.
Danish foreign Poticy
Yearbook has been edited by director Kristian Fischer
and dr. scient. pol. Hans Mouritzen.
The editors,
DuS, Copenhagen
June
2017