Transportudvalget 2012-13
TRU Alm.del Bilag 220
Offentligt
Ark103-04-13Kilder:http://www.scandlines-freight.com/~/media/Scandlines/FreightDk/Docs/Tarif-freight/2013/TDK_Danmark-Tyskland_2013.ashxhttp://www.femern.dk/forside/okonomi/trafikprognosehttp://www.scandlines.dk/billetter/billettyper-og-priser/rodby-puttgardenhttp://www.femern.dk/forside/okonomi
Femern trafikberegning:Trafikprognose:Køretøjer per dag år 2020:BilerBusserLastbilerTotal:Togtrafik per dag år 2015:PassagererGodsvogne38001300680010011008000
forbindelsen åbner år 2021
20104415829635460
År:Biler/dagBiler/årBusser/dagBusser/årLastbiler/dagLastbiler/årPassagerer/dagPassagerer/årGodsvogne/dagGodvogne/årFærgebilletpriser:Bil op til 6 m, 2 pers:Lastbil m trailer o. 8m1 passasger Kh-Berlin:
202195203474800140511001540562100532019418001820664300
202296823533872142519691566571656541019748111851675593
202398463593947145528521593581374550220083821882687078
2024100143655045147537511620591257559620425251914698759
2025101843717180150546641647601309569120772481947710637
2026103573780372152555941675611531578821125611980722718
2027105333844639155565391704621927588621484752014735004
2028107123909998158575001733632500598621849992048747500
2029108943976467160584771762643252608822221442083760207
2030110804044067163594721792654187619222599202118773131
699 dkr for en enkeltbillet1915 dkr for en enkeltbillet349 dkr for en enkeltbillet
Omsætning/år:År:Biler/årBusser/årLastbiler/årPassagerer/år2021kr 2.428.885.200kr 97.856.500kr 1.076.421.500kr 677.688.2002022kr 2.470.176.248kr 99.520.061kr 1.094.720.666kr 689.208.8992023kr 2.512.169.245kr 101.211.902kr 1.113.330.917kr 700.925.4512024kr 2.554.876.122kr 102.932.504kr 1.132.257.542kr 712.841.1832025kr 2.598.309.016kr 104.682.356kr 1.151.505.921kr 724.959.4832026kr 2.642.480.269kr 106.461.956kr 1.171.081.521kr 737.283.7952027kr 2.687.402.434kr 108.271.810kr 1.190.989.907kr 749.817.6192028kr 2.733.088.275kr 110.112.431kr 1.211.236.736kr 762.564.5192029kr 2.779.550.776kr 111.984.342kr 1.231.827.760kr 775.528.1162030kr 2.826.803.139kr 113.888.076kr 1.252.768.832kr 788.712.094
Akk:Akk. Total:
kr 4.280.851.400
kr 4.353.625.874kr 8.634.477.274
kr 4.427.637.514kr 13.062.114.787
kr 4.502.907.351kr 17.565.022.139
kr 4.579.456.776kr 22.144.478.915
kr 4.657.307.542kr 26.801.786.457
kr 4.736.481.770kr 31.538.268.227
kr 4.817.001.960kr 36.355.270.186
kr 4.898.890.993kr 41.254.161.180
kr 4.982.172.140kr 46.236.333.320
I år 2029 når indtægterne de saml. Etabl. Omk. På 40,7 mia. dkrEn tilbagebetalingstid på 9 år, hvis man kun regner indtægter fra biler, busser, lastbiler og passagerer med i beregningen...Regnes alle enheder med bliver tilbagebetalingstiden kortere...Kunne man tænke sig at diff. Bruges til at etabl. Højhastighedstog mellem København og Berlin (125 mia. kr).
Side 1
Ark1
2031112684112817166604831823665309629722983392154786274
2032114604182734169615111854676619640423374102191799640
2033116544253841171625561885688121651323771462228813234
2034118524326156174636201917699819662324175582266827059
2035120544399701177647011950711716673624586562304841119
2036122594474496180658011983723816685125004542344855418
2037124674550562183669202017736120696725429612383869960
2038126794627922186680582051748634708525861922424884750
2039128954706596190692152086761361720626301572465899791
2040131144786609193703912121774304732826748702507915087
2041133374867981196715882157787468745327203422550930643
2031kr 2.874.858.792kr 115.824.173kr 1.274.065.902kr 802.120.199
2032kr 2.923.731.392kr 117.793.184kr 1.295.725.022kr 815.756.242
2033kr 2.973.434.825kr 119.795.668kr 1.317.752.348kr 829.624.099
2034kr 3.023.983.217kr 121.832.194kr 1.340.154.138kr 843.727.708
2035kr 3.075.390.932kr 123.903.342kr 1.362.936.758kr 858.071.079
2036kr 3.127.672.578kr 126.009.698kr 1.386.106.683kr 872.658.288
2037kr 3.180.843.012kr 128.151.863kr 1.409.670.497kr 887.493.479
2038kr 3.234.917.343kr 130.330.445kr 1.433.634.895kr 902.580.868
2039kr 3.289.910.938kr 132.546.063kr 1.458.006.688kr 917.924.742
2040kr 3.345.839.424kr 134.799.346kr 1.482.792.802kr 933.529.463
2041kr 3.402.718.694kr 137.090.935kr 1.508.000.280kr 949.399.464
kr 5.066.869.066kr 51.303.202.386
kr 5.153.005.841kr 56.456.208.227
kr 5.240.606.940kr 61.696.815.166
kr 5.329.697.258kr 67.026.512.424
kr 5.420.302.111kr 72.446.814.535
kr 5.512.447.247kr 77.959.261.783
kr 5.606.158.850kr 83.565.420.633
kr 5.701.463.551kr 89.266.884.184
kr 5.798.388.431kr 95.065.272.615
kr 5.896.961.034kr 100.962.233.649
kr 5.997.209.372kr 106.959.443.021
Side 2
Ark1
2042135644950737199728052194800854758027665882593946464
2043137945034899203740432231814469770928136202637962554
2044140295120492206753012269828315784028614522682978918
2045142675207541210765812308842396797329100962728995559
20461451052960692137788323478567178108295956827741012484
20471475653861022177920723878712818246300988128211029696
20481500754776662218055424288860938386306104928691047201
20491526255707862248192324699011578529311308629181065003
20501552256654902288331625119164768674316600929671083108
2042kr 3.460.564.912kr 139.421.480kr 1.533.636.284kr 965.539.255
2043kr 3.519.394.515kr 141.791.646kr 1.559.708.101kr 981.953.422
2044kr 3.579.224.222kr 144.202.104kr 1.586.223.139kr 998.646.630
2045kr 3.640.071.034kr 146.653.539kr 1.613.188.932kr 1.015.623.623
2046kr 3.701.952.241kr 149.146.649kr 1.640.613.144kr 1.032.889.225
2047kr 3.764.885.430kr 151.682.143kr 1.668.503.568kr 1.050.448.341
2048kr 3.828.888.482kr 154.260.739kr 1.696.868.128kr 1.068.305.963
2049kr 3.893.979.586kr 156.883.171kr 1.725.714.886kr 1.086.467.165
2050kr 3.960.177.239kr 159.550.185kr 1.755.052.039kr 1.104.937.106kr 94.036.179.532kr 3.788.590.503kr 41.674.495.536kr 26.237.225.721kr 165.736.491.292
kr 6.099.161.931kr 113.058.604.953
kr 6.202.847.684kr 119.261.452.637
kr 6.308.296.095kr 125.569.748.732
kr 6.415.537.128kr 131.985.285.860
kr 6.524.601.260kr 138.509.887.120
kr 6.635.519.481kr 145.145.406.601
kr 6.748.323.312kr 151.893.729.913
kr 6.863.044.809kr 158.756.774.721
kr 6.979.716.570kr 165.736.491.292
Side 3
